Sunday, Santa Anita Race 4 — 2:03 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 6-1/2 furlongs, 4 yo and up, f&m

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#4 Justalittletipsy                              9/2
#5 Tiz Salsa                                     2/1
#7 Xtraordinary                                5/2

The main question with #5 Tiz Salsa is why did trainer Jerry Hollendorfer give this filly up? Usually when a horse goes from a successful trainer to a low-percentage conditioner the horse doesn’t run as well. And the ownership of Thomas and York is the same as it was on Feb. 16, so this runner was not just purchased.

Absolutely, Tiz Salsa has the Beyer Speed Figures to win this race, but is this the same horse that Hollendorfer trained? I think not.

So the next best two horses are #7 Xtraordinary and #4 Justalittletipsy. Xtraordinary has a bit of speed and has run well enough in the past to win at this level. She’s had 11 races, but 8 of them were at maiden special weight and she faced allowance horses once.

Peter Miller trains #4 Justalittletipsy, who came on with a good charge in the stretch in her debut. With better position early in the race, she might improve enough to win.

I will bet $200 on #4 Justalittletipsy from 5/2 to 9/1 and $300 on #7 Xtraordinary from 2/1 to 7/2.

Advertisements

Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 5 — won $560

donald_trump_crazy_face_hot_chick_red_carpet11Working out at San Luis Rey Downs, trainer Peter Miller brought speedster #11 No Limit Poker off a six-month layoff to win convincingly.

Garrett Gomez broke this 4-year-old gelding sharply, but #5 Kinky Rule and #7 Saint Jack  competed for the early lead also. They ran three abreast down the backstretch with Kinky Rule on the rail, No Limit Poker on the outside and Saint Jack in between.

And on the turn, they stayed that way — giving No Limit Poker the dreaded 3-wide trip. But this 4-to-1 shot was such a superior animal of these 11 runners, that Gomez shook of the pace setters in the lane then found another gear when #13 The Emerald King came running.

I had several betting scenarios based on the post time odds, which can be seen by clicking the following link. I ended up betting $200 on #11 No Limit Poker, and $150 on both #6 Sky Patriot, at 5-to-1, and #13 The Emerald King, at 6-to-1.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
3 1 Justinero (CA) Navarro D Wallace, II J 103.80 10
4 2 Already Wild (CA) Enriquez I Pender M 84.00 8
5 3 Kinky Rule (CA) Nakatani C Sise, Jr. C 2.70 4
6 4 Sky Patriot (KY) Rosario J Sise, Jr. C 5.30 6
7 5 Saint Jack (FL) Baze M Hess, Jr. R 6.30 9
9 6 Cut (KY) Linares M Stutts C 62.70 3
10 7 Royal Albert (CA) Delgadillo A DeLeon R 27.60 7
11 8 No Limit Poker (CA) Gomez G Miller P 4.30 1
12 9 Second Hand Lion (CA) Potts C Sherman A 3.30 5
13 10 The Emerald King (CA) Rios J Monteleone F 6.70 2
SCR Goodlookindude (FL)    
SCR Water (KY) Olguin G Alcala J
SCR Seven Below (CA)    
SCR Golden Delight (CA)    
 
Pgm Win Place Show
11 $10.60 $4.80 $3.60
13 $7.80 $5.20
9 $18.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $47.60 (11-13)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $126.40 (4-4-11)

Sunday, Santa Anita Race 5 — 2:34 p.m. post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King cifoonquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 4 yos and up

Possible overlays                          Morning line

#1 Water                                          6/1
#5 Kinky Rule                                     9/2
#6 Sky Patriot                                    5/1
#7 Saint Jack                                     6/1
#11 No Limit Poker                             5/1
#12 Second Hand Lion                       7/2
#13 The Emerald King                       8/1

Early speed is a tremendous advantage in 5-1/2 furlong races for older maiden claimers and nobody has more of it here than #11 No Limit Poker. This Peter Miller-trained gelding hasn’t been out since running just off the pace in two sprints at Hollywood Park last summer. Garrett Gomez is slated to ride.

Trainer Clifford Sise, who has a good record in this type of race, should make an impact as he sends out both #5 Kinky Rule and #6 Sky Patriot. Second-time starter #7 Saint Jack had a decent debut and may improve.

If the pace is too fast and the race falls apart in the stretch, then I can see any of five other horses winning, including #1 Water, #9 Cut, #10 Royal Albert, #12 Second Hand Lion and #13 The Emerald King.

I will bet $300 on #11 No Limit Poker at 2/1 to 7/2, but reduce my wager to $200 if his post time odds are 4/1 and up. Also, I will put $250 on #6 Sky Patriot and #13 The Emerald King, but only at odds of 2/1 to 7/2.

If none of those three horses are 2/1 to 7/2, then at 4/1 to 9/1, I want $150 on #5 Kinky Rule and #6 Sky Patriot. Then I want another $150 on whoever goes off highest — but less than 10/1 — among #7 Saint Jack, #12 Second Hand Lion and #13 The Emerald King.

%d bloggers like this: