Maiden Special Weight, 6.5 furlongs, 2-yo colts
Possible Overlays Morning Line
#1 Valkyrie Missile 12/1
#2 Unionize 8/1
#4 Infernal 7/2
#7 Pauper’s Prize 6/1
The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in this type of race is 85 and #4 Infernal ran an 82 in his Nov. 15 debut while three-wide on the turn. He’s 7/2 on the morning line, which is much better than the 2/1 line on #9 Tevez the Tiger, who will probably be over bet with a $450,000 sale price showing and Bejarano riding.
Breaking from the inside are two first-time starters who could be decent bets at the right prices. #1 Valkyrie Missile is working out well and #2 Unionize has solid connections. Jockey Garrett Gomez will be aboard #7 Pauper’s Prize, and he has won on a large percentage of 2-yo MSW first time starters.
I will bet $300 on both #1 Valkyrie Missile and #2 Unionize only if their post time odds are between 10/1 and 19/1. If #2 Unionize goes off at 6/1 to 9/1, I will reduce my bet to $150. Also, I want $450 to win on #4 Infernal at 5/2 or better, and $150 to win on #7 Pauper’s Prize at 3/1 or more.
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