Results, Del Mar Saturday Race 2 — lost $400

August 3, 2010 — maidenking

 

Jockey Joe Talamo gets #5 Ribat up in time to dead heat with #3 Asno Del Caramelo Saturday

When I was preparing for this race, it looked as if value would be found betting against the Bob Baffert-trained first-time starter, #8 Benergy.

It’s not because Benergy couldn’t win. He could. But I chose against him because he was the 5/2 morning line favorite and he was likely to be bet too low to justify his chances of victory.

However, the veterinarian scratched Benergy in the morning, so it made this race a bit more difficult to play.

Trainer Mark Glatt had 2-year-old colt Asno Del Caramelo ready to run on Saturday

Anyway, just one of the three horses that I thought might run well, 6 Gahnzo Bob, had a bettable price. And jockey Corey Nakatani gunned him for the lead even though in his July 4 debut, Gahnzo Bob was in last place after a quarter mile.  

Going for the lead so early was a curious move by both Nakatani and by Patrick Valenzuela. P Val rode  #1 Joburg Star, who was another horse who led early in this race after not showing speed in the past.  Maybe they thought the pace would be soft and their horses would last. But 6 furlongs is not like 5 furlongs or even 5-1/2 furlongs where speed dominates. At 6 furlongs, the race plays much more fair to pressers and stretch runners.

When the race began, Joburg Star shot to the front with Gahnzo Bob on his flank as race caller Trevor Denman said “they could not be going any quicker.” Jockey Martin Pedroza, riding #3 Asno Del Caramelo, sat behind the leaders and cut the corner on the rail to surge to the front at the top of the lane as Denman announced “now that fast early pace taking its toll.”

Just then, #5 Ribat started making his run from far back. In deep stretch,  Ribat quickly came into the picture, but gained slowly on Asno Del Caramelo during the last sixteenth of a mile until both noses simultaneously hit the wire.

I ended up putting $100 to win on #2 Alert Rocket at 19/1 and $300 to win on #6 Gahnzo Bob.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Joburg Star (KY) Valenzuela P Miller P 3.50 5
2 2 Alert Rocket (KY) Espinoza V Gallagher P 19.30 6
3 3 Asno Del Caramelo (PA) Pedroza M Glatt M 1.60 1
4 4 Baby Tate (CA) Bejarano R Mullins J 2.90 7
5 5 Ribat (KY) Talamo J Periban J 8.40 1
6 6 Gahnzo Bob (KY) Nakatani C Pender M 8.90 4
7 7 Riveting Reason (KY) Quinonez A Cho M 11.30 3
SCR – Benergy (KY) Garcia M Baffert B – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
5 $7.20 $6.60 $3.80
3 $3.20 $3.40 $3.00
7 – – $5.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $14.00 (5-3)
$1.00 Exacta paid $9.50 (3-5)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $274.00 (3-5-7-6)
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Saturday, Hollywood Park Race 5 — 3 pm post time

May 30, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 5 furlongs, 2-year-olds

Possible overlays                Morning line

#1 Icy Temper                      15/1
#3 Ranger Heartley                20/1
#5 Siete Machos                   15/1
#6 Summers at Del Mar          20/1
#8 Get My Fix                       6/1
#9 Really Uptown                  9/2
#10 The Skinny Man              5/1
#11 Saarface                       20/1

Seven first-time starters go in this race and I listed them all above as possible overlays, but realistically only a few of them will go off at a price fit for betting.

The best of the debuters looks like #10 The Skinny Man. J Paul Reddam, the owner, loves to use Corey Nakatani and his horses have had success in their first lifetime races. Furthermore, trainer Doug O’Neill has good numbers with this type of horse.

Of the experienced horses, I like #9 Really Uptown. The median Beyer Speed Figure for this class is 76 and Really Uptown ran a 74 in his last start while breaking from the unfavorable #6 post at 4-1/2 furlongs. The morning-line maker has #4 Roman Counsel and #2 Sterling Outlook at lower prices than Really Uptown, who not only has better Beyers but looks to be much quicker from the gate. If Really Uptown is a higher price than these two, I will bet him with both hands.

At the window, I will put $150 to win on any of these debuters at 10/1 to 19/1 only:  #1 Icey Temper, #3 Ranger Heartley, #5 Siete Machos, #6 Summers At Delmar, #8 Get My Fix and #11 Saarface. Also, I want $300 to win on #10 The Skinny Man at 7/2 or better and $400 to win on #9 Really Uptown at 3/1 or more.

© Copyright Maiden King, 2009. Written exclusively for  maidenking.wordpress.com. Not to be duplicated or reprinted.

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Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 1 — won $980

January 24, 2009 — maidenking

financial_money_rollYep. It seems to me that #7 Deep Pockets is better suited for 6 furlongs or shorter. The 4-to-5 shot trained by Bob Baffert chased pace setter #3 Drake Lake down the backstretch and put him away at the top of the lane.

Jockey Corey Nakatani was trying to ration Deep Pockets’ brilliant speed, but this horse  was in deep water during the last sixteenth of a mile, as #5 Buck’s Bro and a host of other went by him.

On the bright side, Deep Pockets’ fifth-place finish will probably allow him to go off at 2-to-1 or better next time he races. And if he shortens up, then I’ll probably bet him.

But this race was all about jockey Joel Rosario and #5 Buck’s Bro. Rosario, who won four races Saturday, placed Buck’s Bro in the middle of the seven-horse field and made a 3-wide move on the turn. Deep Pockets had the lead for about five jumps before Buck’s Bro came knocking. Rosario bumped a bit with Deep Pockets in midstretch, then pulled away to win by 1-1/4 lengths.

I bet $300 on the winner at 7-to-2, but also had $100 to win on the second-place finisher #6 Spirit of Cochise, who was 6-to-1.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
3 1 Ms Honkytonk Woman (CA) Russell C Shidaker D 112.20 10
4 2 Connie the Queen (KY) Quinonez A Matties G 19.70 3
5 3 Queen Missy (CA) Delgadillo A Garcia V 52.20 7
6 4 Holladay Dixie (PA) Baze T Gaines C 1.80 5
7 5 No Guessing (KY) Rosario J Walsh K 3.50 1
9 6 Sally Says So (CA) Valdivia, Jr. J Lewis C 9.40 6
10 7 Ata Honour (KY) Olguin G Burnison E 16.30 9
11 8 Stylin Deputy (KY) Flores D Cassidy J 6.20 4
12 9 Happyinexcess (CA) Sorenson D Semkin S 12.00 11
13 10 Lil Troublemaker (CA) Scott J Soto A 78.10 8
14 11 Classic Demand (CA) Baze M Eurton P 5.20 2
SCR – Black Point (KY)     – –
SCR – Silent Smoke (CA)     – –
SCR – Snooty Gal (KY)     – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
7 $9.00 $5.20 $4.00
14 – $6.40 $5.00
4 – – $8.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $30.20 (7-14)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $240.00 (5-7-7)
$1.00 Superfecta
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Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 4 — won $1,300

January 18, 2009 — maidenking

imgres27Jockey Corey Nakatani sprang to the lead with #2 Hudler, who held a clear advantage on the backstretch.

On the turn, Hudler was running easily with Nakatani hardly moving his hands, however behind him Martin Garcia was asking #6 Dona Mary for everything she had. In third place, jockey Alex Solis had the 7-to-5 favorite #5 High Note also under an all-out race ride. 

But nobody was catching Hudler, who won without breaking a sweat.

I bet $200 on this first-time starter, as her 7-to-1 odds fell into my range of 5-to-1 and above. I also put $200 on second-timer #6 Dona Mary, and was considering winning trainer Doug O’Neill’s other entry #7 Runway Starlet. But she was 2-to-1, which I thought was too poor of a wagering price.

I also liked first timer #5 High Note, but was interested at 10-to-1 and higher, not her post time odds of 7-to-5.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY tTRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Charming Meadow (CA) Baze T Saavedra A 22.20 6
2 2 Hudler (CA) Nakatani C O’Neill D 7.50 1
3 3 Not Unusual (CA) Rosario J Sherman A 13.30 8
4 4 Warren’s Royal Mom (CA) Gomez G Gutierrez J 14.70 5
5 5 High Note (CA) Solis A Hendricks D 1.40 3
6 6 Dona Mary (CA) Garcia M Gonzalez S 5.30 4
7 7 Runway Starlet (CA) Bejarano R O’Neill D 2.20 2
8 8 Laura Beasley (CA) Delgadillo A McFarlane D 51.80 7
 
Pgm Win Place Show
2 $17.00 $6.00 $3.40
7 – $3.60 $2.40
5 – – $2.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $25.20 (2-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $126.80 (7-4-2)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid $2392.50 (5-7-4-2)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $262.30 (2-7-5-6)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $67.50 (2-7-5)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $93.20 (4-2)
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