Maiden Special Weight, 5 furlongs, 2-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Icy Temper 15/1
#3 Ranger Heartley 20/1
#5 Siete Machos 15/1
#6 Summers at Del Mar 20/1
#8 Get My Fix 6/1
#9 Really Uptown 9/2
#10 The Skinny Man 5/1
#11 Saarface 20/1
Seven first-time starters go in this race and I listed them all above as possible overlays, but realistically only a few of them will go off at a price fit for betting.
The best of the debuters looks like #10 The Skinny Man. J Paul Reddam, the owner, loves to use Corey Nakatani and his horses have had success in their first lifetime races. Furthermore, trainer Doug O’Neill has good numbers with this type of horse.
Of the experienced horses, I like #9 Really Uptown. The median Beyer Speed Figure for this class is 76 and Really Uptown ran a 74 in his last start while breaking from the unfavorable #6 post at 4-1/2 furlongs. The morning-line maker has #4 Roman Counsel and #2 Sterling Outlook at lower prices than Really Uptown, who not only has better Beyers but looks to be much quicker from the gate. If Really Uptown is a higher price than these two, I will bet him with both hands.
At the window, I will put $150 to win on any of these debuters at 10/1 to 19/1 only: #1 Icey Temper, #3 Ranger Heartley, #5 Siete Machos, #6 Summers At Delmar, #8 Get My Fix and #11 Saarface. Also, I want $300 to win on #10 The Skinny Man at 7/2 or better and $400 to win on #9 Really Uptown at 3/1 or more.
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June 1, 2009 at 9:12 PM
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