Saturday, Hollywood Park Race 4 — 2:30 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#1 Mum Z                                              6/1
#4 Sweet Pea                                        2/1
#7 Sindyfromsantacruz                  5/2

Breaking from the rail, #1 Mum Z is a second-time starter who is adding blinkers for trainer John Shirreffs. The published purchase price is $310,000 and curiously she drops into a $40,000 claiming race after showing brief speed in her debut.

Ral Ayers is taking over the training responsibilities while Jeff Mullins serves out is suspension. Ayers saddles #4 Sweetpea who fits the profile of the type of horse that wins at this class better than any of the other runners. Sweetpea has the right running style and strong Beyer Speed Figures.

Mike Mitchell is unstoppable when his maiden claimers are bet down. Also, according to the Daily Racing Form, Mitchell’s maiden claimers won 27 of their last 76 races for a 15 percent wagering profit. Mitchell’s filly #7 Sindyfromsantacruz is dropping slightly in class after showing early speed in her only two lifetime starts.

At the window, I will bet $300 to win on #7 Sindyfromsantacruz from 3/2 to 5/2. If she does not fall into that range, then I will put $300 on #4 Sweetpea instead at 2/1 or better. Also, if #1 Mum Z’s odds fall between 5/2 and 7/1 then I will bet $150 to win on her regardless of the prices of the other two previously-mentioned horses.

© Maiden King, 2009.

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