Results, Hollywood Park Saturday Race 4 — lost $450

Rafael Bejarano pressed the pace then drew off with #4 Sweetpea

Rafael Bejarano pressed the pace then drew off with #4 Sweetpea

Of this bunch, she seemed like the most likely winner and #4 Sweetpea didn’t disappoint her backers as this 8-to-5 shot stalked the leader then poured it on in the stretch. 

In the betting, Sweetpea was the second choice to #7 Sindyfromsantacruz for most of the betting period. But in the final flash, Sweetpea’s odds declined to 8-to-5 favoritism. Sindyfromsantacruz ran a terrible race. She sat in mid pack and did not respond when jockey Tyler Baze whipped her entering the stretch.

As the race began, #1 Mum Z shot to the front and held the lead until the stretch. But that’s when Sweetpea came a-calling and kicked it into high gear. By the time she hit the wire, her widening margin had reached 7-1/2 lengths over second-place finisher #5 Lion Princess.

I bet $300 on #7 Sindyfromsantacruz and $150 on #1 Mum Z.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

© Maiden King, 2009. Written exclusively for Maiden King. Not to be duplicated or reprinted, especially by website Our Blogs Kentucky Derby Everything You Need To Know.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Mum Z (KY) Smith M Shirreffs J 5.50 7
3 2 She’s Very Rare (CA) Gryder A Warren D 24.70 3
4 3 Sweetpea (FL) Bejarano R Ayers R 1.80 1
5 4 Lion Princess (KY) Rosario J West T 4.10 2
6 5 St. Rosalind (KY) Hill C Headley G 58.10 6
7 6 Sindyfromsantacruz (KY) Baze T Mitchell M 1.90 4
8 7 Guided Wave (KY) Sorenson D Gallagher P 11.00 5
SCR Always Pretty (FL) Talamo J Meredith D
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $5.60 $3.00 $2.40
5 $4.00 $3.20
3 $6.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Consolation Pick 3 paid $6.60 (1-2-4)
$

Saturday, Hollywood Park Race 4 — 2:30 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#1 Mum Z                                              6/1
#4 Sweet Pea                                        2/1
#7 Sindyfromsantacruz                  5/2

Breaking from the rail, #1 Mum Z is a second-time starter who is adding blinkers for trainer John Shirreffs. The published purchase price is $310,000 and curiously she drops into a $40,000 claiming race after showing brief speed in her debut.

Ral Ayers is taking over the training responsibilities while Jeff Mullins serves out is suspension. Ayers saddles #4 Sweetpea who fits the profile of the type of horse that wins at this class better than any of the other runners. Sweetpea has the right running style and strong Beyer Speed Figures.

Mike Mitchell is unstoppable when his maiden claimers are bet down. Also, according to the Daily Racing Form, Mitchell’s maiden claimers won 27 of their last 76 races for a 15 percent wagering profit. Mitchell’s filly #7 Sindyfromsantacruz is dropping slightly in class after showing early speed in her only two lifetime starts.

At the window, I will bet $300 to win on #7 Sindyfromsantacruz from 3/2 to 5/2. If she does not fall into that range, then I will put $300 on #4 Sweetpea instead at 2/1 or better. Also, if #1 Mum Z’s odds fall between 5/2 and 7/1 then I will bet $150 to win on her regardless of the prices of the other two previously-mentioned horses.

© Maiden King, 2009.
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