In a maiden claiming $25,000 sprint like this one, the median winning Beyer Speed Figure is a 71. And in seven of #1 Scibelli’s last 10 races he’s exceeded that speed rating.
So it was no surprise to see him win by 1-1/2 lengths, going wire-to-wire at 6-to-5. It appears that trainer Bob Hess, Jr. grew impatient with this gelding as he ran 12 times for maiden special weight and his odds were above 4-to-1 only one time.
Throughout Scibelli’s 14-race maiden career, where he’s now earned $88,300, he finished second six times and third on three other occasions. On Saturday, it was time for a win so Hess dropped to the bottom rung and got it.
I was prepared to bet Scibelli, but his odds were too low. So I instead went for new gelding #11 Downtown Banker at 6/1 and #7 Ask George at 7/2 — losing a total of $300 in the process.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.
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