Maiden claiming $32,000, 6 furlongs, 3 yo’s and up, F
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Bouncer 5/1
#2 Xtraordinary 6/1
#4 Lion Princess 5/1
#5 Coatcheck Girl 9/2
#6 Kaylie’s Joy 20/1
#9 Flash Dance 5/1
#10 Metallic Waters 7/2
This is a very competitive race and as usual it’s important to get a good price on any of the contenders.
Making her third lifetime start, #10 Metallic Waters is trained by Bob Baffert, who drops her in class after she showed a bit of speed against maiden special weight company in the spring. On the rail, #1 Bouncer is also dropping and she’s coming off a seven-month layoff.
The median winning Beyer Speed Figure for this class is 68 and #9 Flash Dance has run two of her last races within four points of that. Other runners like #2 Xtraordinary, #4 Lion Princess and #5 Coatcheck Girl have recently run well and they can all win under the right circumstances.
At 2/1 to 7/2, I will bet $200 on #1 Bouncer. But if Bouncer is not in that range, then instead I will play $200 on #10 Metallic Waters at 5/2 to 5/1 only.
If neither of those two horses fall into their odds zone, then I will put $200 on any of the following horses: #2 Xtraordinary at 7/1 to 12/1, #4 Lion Princess at 5/1 to 12/1, #5 Coatcheck Girl at 6/1 to 12/1 and #9 Flash Dance at 5/1 to 12/1.