Maiden Special Weight, 5-1/2 furlongs, 2-yo fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#4 Saint Isabelle 10/1
#5 Champagne d’Oro 3/1
#9 The Great Atlantic 5/1
#11 Pulpit Magic 15/1
The median winning Beyer Speed Figure for this class is an 81 and #5 Champagne d”Oro ran a 76 and 77 in two of her three lifetime races. Her last two runs were in the Cinderella Stakes on June 11 and the Landaluce on July 12, so this is a bit of a class drop.
This filly may win, but I expect her odds will be too low for a bet.
Of the five first-time starters scheduled to go, #4 Saint Isabelle is the best bet, but only if the price is right.
One horse who will likely be a bad wager is the Jerry Hollendorfer-trained #7 Softly Singing. No doubt this filly has been working out ultra impressively and her past performances are loaded with speedy drills and bullet works. The problem is that the public loves this type of first-time starter and she is almost certain to be bet below 7-to-2.
She will probably hit the board and even if she wins, Softly Singing’s odds won’t compensate for the risk. The public will also probably overbet #2 Pure Class for the same reasons they like Softly Singing.
Five of these fillies have racing experience and #5 The Great Atlantic showed quick early speed in her first race on July 26. She could win at a decent price.
Finally, #11 Public Magic, a second time starter, has an outside shot if bet below 20/1.
I will put $200 to win on #4 Saint Isabelle at 7/2 to 19/1, I want $150 to win on #9 The Great Atlantic at 7/2 and up and $100 on #11 Pulpit Magic at 5/2 to 19/1.