Results, Hollywood Park Saturday Race 1 — lost $100

544083_420x300_mb_art_R0During the 10 minutes leading up to race time, the odds on the winning horse #6 Asanti fluctuated between 5/2 and 4/1.

My plan was to bet $250 on this gray granddaughter of Free House at 2/1 to 7/2 and she seemed to be in the perfect pari-mutuel spot at 3/1 with a minute to post.

But during the race, as Asanti surged from the back of the pack to the lead on the turn, I saw on the live video feed that her odds drastically sank to 3-to-2.  Somebody, it seems, hit Asanti late. And they hit her hard.

Unfortunately for the blog, my minimum price was 2/1 so my only live bet was $100 on second-place finisher #4 She’s Very Rare at 7/1. 

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

© Copyright Maiden King, 2009. Written exclusively for  maidenking.wordpress.com. Not to be duplicated or reprinted.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Lil Red Hot (CA) Arambula P Soto A 61.20 6
3 2 Maeve (CA) Solis A Becerra R 25.80 3
4 3 She’s Very Rare (CA) Gomez G Warren D 7.00 2
5 4 Kaylie’s Joy (CA) Baze T Dominguez C 21.70 7
6 5 Asanti (KY) Quinonez A Gonzalez J 1.50 1
7 6 Luv’n Paradise (CA) Delgadillo A Schiewe P 107.00 8
8 7 Lady Alex (CA) Gryder A Koriner B 9.40 5
9 8 Gold Image (CA) Bejarano R Gaines C 1.10 4
SCR Kant Catch the Kat (CA) Garcia M Sherman A
 
Pgm Win Place Show
6 $5.00 $3.20 $2.80
4 $5.20 $3.80
3 $9.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $10.20 (6-4)
$1.00 Superfecta

Saturday, Hollywood Park Race 1 — 1 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $40,000, 6-1/2 furlongs, 3+, f&m

Possible overlays            Morning line

 #4 She’s Very Rare                   5/1
#6 Asanti                                  5/2
#9 Gold Image                            8/5

 Of the nine horses going to post, three of them are first-time starters. I will let them beat me if they’re good enough.

Two fillies in here look strikingly similar. Both #6 Asanti and #9 Gold Image are coming off long recent layoffs, they’ve run close to the median winning Beyer Speed Figure for this class, and both have the right running style.
 
Gold Image has great connections. Over the years, the Harris Farms-Carla Gaines team won plenty of maiden claiming sprints in Southern California, but they have recently underperformed. Also, jockey Rafael Bejarano won on 15 of the last 51 horses he’s ridden for Gaines, or 29 percent.
 
But Gold Image is likely to be overbet, which is why I’ll probably have my money on Asanti.
 
Another possibility is #4 She’s Very Rare. She was off slowly in her only start and now Garrett Gomez takes the mount. Also, trainer Donald Warren won with four of his last 17 second-time starters.
 
I will bet $250 to win on #6 Asanti or #9 Gold Image at 2/1 to 7/2 only. If both fall into the betting zone, then I will put my money on whoever is longer and wager nothing on the lower-priced one.
 
Also, I want $100 on #4 She’s Very Rare regardless of the prices on Asanti and Gold Image.

 © Copyright Maiden King, 2009. Written exclusively for www.maidenking.wordpress.com. Not to be duplicated or reprinted, especially by a website called Our Blogs Kentucky Derby Everything You Need To Know

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