Sunday, Hollywood Park Race 2 — 1:30 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $40,000, 6 furlongs, 3 yo and up, F

Possible overlays               Morning line

#1 Brilliant Response                  3/1
#5 Hannah’s Moment                  6/1
#9 Angel of Mystery                   6/1
#12 Lady Alex                           7/2

Jockey Rafael Bejarano chooses to keep the mount on #1 Brilliant Response after that one ran poorly coming off a nine-month layoff on May 23.  The filly, who is trained by Carla Gaines, has positive long-term angles going for it if betting action shows up.

Also, Gaines’ is only a 12 percent trainer this year, but she wins at 29 percent over the last two years when Bejarano rides.

Two second-time starters look good at the right price. Both #9 Angel of Mystery and #12 Lady Alex have been working out well and they ran decently in their debuts.

Finally, #5 Hannah’s Moment deserves a chance because she has the kind of good early speed that wins at 6 furlongs.

At 2/1 to 7/2, I will bet $300 on #1 Brilliant Response. If she falls out of the betting range, then I will put $150 on #5 Hannah’s Moment at 3/1 or higher, and $200 on both #9 Angel of Mystery and #12 Lady Alex at 5/2 to 7/1 only.

Saturday, Santa Anita Race 3 — 1:31 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up

Possible overlays                                     Morning line

#8 Smokin Anne                                             3/1

A few horses, in their previous races, have exceeded the median winning Beyer Speed Figure of 68 for this level.

Speed horse #6 Hannah’s Moment ran a 73 Beyer on Jan. 3 when she was loose on the lead against $40,000 maiden claimers. A 7-year-old maiden, #7 Shezbad is coming off a 21-month layoff, but four of her five races in 2006-07 met or exceeded a 68 Beyer. And the 2-to-1 morning line favorite, #11 River Spey finished third on Jan. 30 while running a 73.

However, I am focusing on  #8 Smokin Anne. This 5-year-old mare has been off for 2-1/2 years, but showed good speed as a 2-year-old while finishing second against 10 maiden special weight rivals. Trainer Robert Hess has put a couple of quick workouts into her and if she’s well bet I will take it as a positive.

Therefore, I will wager $350 to win on #8 Smokin Anne at 2/1 to 7/2 only.

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