Sunday, Del Mar Race 9 — 6 pm post time

August 22, 2010 — maidenking

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 3 yos and up

Possible overlays                        Morning line

#1 Uncle Greg                                          3/1
#2 Royal Import                                     5/2
#3 My Last Tycoon                                7/2
 
The rail horse #1 Uncle Greg obviously has competitive Beyer Speed Figures and top-notch connections in  trainer Jack Carava and jockey Joel Rosario. But I don’t think his running style is suited for this 7 furlong distance. 
 
In Uncle Greg’s last two races, Rosario was asking the gelding for everything in the stretch, but got little response. I respect Carava when dropping new claims in class, and this one might look like a different horse today. But I will likely have my money on #2 Royal Import or #3 My Last Tycoon.
 
Royal Import, who is trained by Bob Hess, ran his first nine races on the grass before a second-place finish on the Del Mar Polytrack on Aug. 8. With his turf racing experience, Royal Import should be able to stay near the middle of the pack and come with a late closing kick.
 
Trainer Mel Stute likes to race his horses into shape and My Last Tycoon is coming off of two turf routes where he ran OK. My Last Tycoon could be dangerous if he can reproduce the late run he made on Aug. 1 when he came within three lengths of winning a maiden special weight turf route.
 
I will put $500 to win on #2 Royal Import at 5/2 or higher and $200 to win on #3 My Last Tycoon at 3/1 or more.
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Results: Lost $200 with a win bet on #3 My Last Tycoon at 5-1.
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PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Uncle Greg (KY) Rosario J Carava J 2.20 1
2 2 Royal Import (GB) Espinoza V Hess, Jr. R 1.70 2
3 3 My Last Tycoon (NY) Quinonez A Stute M 5.10 3
4 4 Hamonic Motion (CA) Garcia M Young D 47.60 7
5 5 Warrens Temptation (CA) Velazquez J Van Berg J 26.60 5
6 6 Courtside Action (KY) John K DeLeon R 16.30 6
7 7 Quietly Waiting (KY) Valdez F Knapp S 16.40 9
8 8 Kopriti (CA) Gihua J Frousiakis J 17.80 8
9 9 Anga (CA) Delgadillo A Garcia V 7.20 4
 
Pgm Win Place Show
1 $6.40 $3.20 $2.60
2 – $3.00 $2.20
3 – – $3.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$0.50 Pick 4 paid $2041.65 (3-6-6-1)
$1.00 Exacta paid $7.10 (1-2)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $655.00 (6-6-1)
$1.00 Place Pick All paid $4172.50 (9 OF 9)
$1.00 Super High Five paid $208.00 (1-2-3-9-5)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $69.00 (1-2-3-9)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $16.60 (1-2-3)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $67.00 (6-1)
$2.00 Pick 6 paid $1269.80 (4-4/13/14-3-6-6-1)
$2.00 Pick 6 paid $239706.40 (4-4/13/14-3-6-6-1)
$2.00 Quinella paid $6.20 (1-2)

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Sunday, Del Mar Race 4 — 3:30 pm post time

August 8, 2010 — maidenking

Maiden King conquers So. Calif. maiden races

Maiden Claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 3 yo’s and up
 
Possible overlays                    Morning line
 
#2 Born to Waltz                          15/1
#6 Royal Import                            3/1
#8 Aeromon                                    5/2
 
This race is mainly between two horses: #6 Royal Import and #8 Aeromon.
 
Trained by Robert Hess, Royal Import is making his tenth career start and first on anything other than grass. Eight of Royal Import’s last 10 races were routes, but that shouldn’t put him at a disadvantage at this 7-furlong distance. This gelding has shown a good late kick, which will be needed to catch Aeromon.
 
Aeromon has the best demonstrated speed in this field. The question will be whether leading jockey Joel Rosario can slow down Aeromon enough during the second quarter mile so this gelding will have the energy to hold off Royal Import in the lane.
 
At 7 furlongs, speed isn’t as great an asset as it is in short sprints. That is why I would be reluctant to bet Aeromon if Royal Import is a longer price.
 
The only other horse I’m looking at in this race is #2 Born to Waltz, who is running in his second race back from a long layoff. The past performances on this Jerry Fanning-trainee are on the dismal side which should help the odds. In his first race, Born to Waltz was pulled up and walked off. In his second start, he broke dead last in an eleven-horse field and stayed there until closing good ground in the stretch to finish seventh. Horses of this type have shown to be profitable win-place bets at 10/1 to 19/1.
 
Therefore, at 5/2 and up, I will bet $700 on #6 Royal Import. But if Royal Import is 2/1 or below at post time, then I will wager $300 on #8 Aeromon at 3/1 or higher.
Also, at 10/1 to 19/1, I will put $50 on #2 Born to Waltz.
 
I can see Aeromon getting away loose on the lead with Royal Import closing to be second. So, I will bet a straight $20 trifecta 8 with 6 with 2, a $5 trifecta 8 with 2 with 6, and $5 trifectas 8 with 6 with all horses 10/1 to 30/1.
 
The above exotic bets are contingent on either Aeromon being 3/1 or more, or Royal Import being 5/2 or higher.
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Results: Lost $1,090. Had $700 to win on #6 Royal Import at 4-1, $50 on #2 Born to Waltz at 14-1, and $40 worth of trifectas keying #6 Royal Import.

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PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Cynical Wager (CA) Quinonez A Pearson M 20.90 8
2 2 Born to Waltz (KY) Flores D Fanning J 14.00 6
3 3 Swiss Emperor (CA) Garcia M Zucker H 6.20 9
4 4 Truco (CA) Velazquez J Mollica M 46.10 3
5 5 Sir Bolly (CA) Gonzalez A Mandella G 18.30 10
6 6 Royal Import (GB) Espinoza V Hess, Jr. R 4.10 2
7 7 Valley Cat (CA) Bejarano R Eurton P 2.30 1
8 8 Aeromon (KY) Rosario J Cerin V 2.10 4
9 9 Warrens Temptation (CA) Atkinson P Van Berg J 46.10 5
10 10 Oneinamillionyou (CA) Medina L Pender M 47.10 7
SCR – Who U Foolin (CA)     – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
7 $6.60 $3.20 $3.40
6 – $5.00 $4.00
4 – – $10.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $13.50 (7-6)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $3214.00 (10-1-7)

 
 
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