Results, Del Mar Wednesday Race 6 — won $1,005

ist2_580792-money-hat[1]The experienced runners in this 12-horse field all looked weak considering that the median winning Beyer Speed Figure for the class was 59 and the best Beyer any of these could muster was just a 44.

I took a long look at the three-first time starters and saw that #2 Storm Needed, #3 Private Valentine and #9 Royalty Gone Wild all had positive betting angles going for them.

However, I wanted to see some betting action on Storm Needed and she went off at 16-to-1, which was well above my maximum post time odds of 8-to-1. Conversely, I was interested in Washington-bred Private Valentine only at 10/1 to 19/1, but she was surprisingly bet down to just 5-to-1.

I liked Royalty Gone Wild at anywhere from 7/2 up to 19/1, but planned to bump my bet from $150 to $200 if she was at least 10/1.

During the race, longshot #6 Giveme Tat Ting dueled with second-time starter #1 Escape Plan until the top of the stretch when Private Valentine surged to the leaders. Royalty Gone Wild ran near the back of the pack then came like an express train in the stretch to win by 6 lengths.

The only drawback with Royalty Gone Wild winning was that her odds were only 7/1, so I had just $150 on her instead of $200. Anyway, I ended up profiting $1,005 after subtracting out $300 which includes $150 on #10 Sheskey, a 7/1 shot who showed speed in her last.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Escape Plan (KY) Talamo J Koriner B 4.20 3
2 2 Storm Needed (CA) Baze M Gaines C 16.20 9
3 3 Private Valentine (WA) Sorenson D Yakteen T 5.80 4
4 4 Bookdmyoceancruise (CA) Valdez F Fulmer D 74.50 10
5 5 Clear Imagine (KY) Arambula P DeLeon R 22.40 7
6 6 Giveme Tat Ting (CA) Delgadillo A Solis W 20.40 8
7 7 Fifty K (CA) Kaenel K Polanco M 65.20 11
8 8 Lena Miss (KY) Atkinson P Stute M 72.80 12
9 9 Royalty Gone Wild (CA) Santiago Reyes C Sadler J 7.70 1
10 10 Sheskey (KY) Quinonez A Gonzalez S 7.30 6
11 11 Rose S. (WA) Pedroza M Harrington M 15.30 5
12 12 Goldeneh Medina (CA) Espinoza V Kruljac J 1.70 2
SCR Chatty Lula (CA)    
SCR Deceptively (FL)    
Pgm Win Place Show
9 $17.40 $7.00 $4.20
12 $3.20 $2.60
1 $3.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $25.30 (9-12)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $130.30 (1-3-9)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $530.00 (9-12-1-3)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $101.00 (9-12-1)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $61.80 (3-9)
$2.00 Quinella paid $22.80 (9-12)
Fractional Times
22.89, 47.10, 59.28, 1:05.42
 

Wednesday, Del Mar Race 6 — 4:30 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 2 yo fillies

Possible overlays                    Morning line

#1 Escape Plan                             4/1
#2 Storm Needed                          8/1
#3 Private Valentine                    10/1
#9 Royalty Gone Wild                 6/1
#10 Sheskey                                5/1

The median winning Beyer Speed Figure for this class is 59, but none of the fillies in this race has run better than a 44.

Three second-time starters — #1 Escape Plan, #11 Rose S. and #12 Goldeneh Medina — may improve. But I think the three first time starters are better bets.

Owner Harris Farms, who won with debuting 7-to-2 shot John Scott on Sunday, sends out first time runner #2 Storm Needed. And trainer Carla Gaines has a great record when her first timers go off at odds of 3/1 to 9/1.

Carla Gaines, who won with debuter John Scott on Sunday, trains FTS #2 Storm Needed

Carla Gaines, who won with debuter John Scott on Sunday, trains FTS #2 Storm Needed

Another owner that does well with first timers is Tommy Town Thoroughbreds. They’re employing trainer John Sadler today to saddle #9 Royalty Gone Wild. 

It’s curious that #3 Private Valentine shows up at Del Mar. This Washington-bred switched circuits from the Peg. training track, which I’m unfamiliar with. Every now and then one of these outsiders comes to San Diego and lights up the tote in its first lifetime run.

In her second career race on July 16, #10 Sheskey was bet to 3-to-1 in an eight-horse field, and that was despite her low-profile connections. She showed good speed that day and might be a play at proper odds.

I will bet $200 on #2 Storm Needed but only at 3/1 to 9/1 and $150 on #9 Royalty Gone Wild at 7/2 to 9/1. However, if Royalty Gone Wild breaks into the 10/1 to 19/1 zone they I’ll bump my bet on her to $200.

Also, if #3 Private Valentine is 10/1 to 19/1 then I’ll wager $150 to win on her. Finally, if either Storm Needed or Royalty Gone Wild are 10/1 or greater then I’ll put $150 to win on #10 Sheskey at 3/1 or more.

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