Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 3 — won $400

money-by-tw-collins

When looking at the past performances for #4 Senor Afortunado you see comments like “7-wide into lane” on  Feb. 23, 2008, “5-wide into lane” on Nov. 28, “3-wide into stretch” on Dec. 21, and his last race two weeks ago, “4-wide into lane.”

Rallying wide is a good way to stay out of trouble, but horses who lose too much ground on the turn tend to finish second and third a lot. On Saturday, it was clear that Senor Afortunado was going to be nowhere near the rail, so the big question became would his wide trip cause him to hang in the stretch once again? 

And the big answer was, no it would not.

As expected, jockey Joel Rosario had Senor Afortunado rallying in his familiar 4-wide path on the turn. In midstretch, the horse battled with 3-to-2 favorite #1 Six Pack Man, who had just inherited the lead from front-running #3 Captain Charisma.

Nearing the wire, Senor Afortunado hung tough and had enough left to outlast Six Pack Man by a head.

My wagers were $200 to win on Senor Afortunado and $100 on #7 Herecometheirish, who stumbled badly at the start causing jockey Jerry Olguin to fall off.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Six Pack Man (KY) Talamo J Puype M 1.50 2
2 2 My Apple Martini (KY) Couton J Papaprodromou G 59.10 8
3 3 Captain Charisma (CA) Potts C Aguirre P 4.60 3
4 4 Senor Afortunado (CA) Rosario J Periban J 2.50 1
5 5 Beckett (CA) Rios J Dupuis J 49.70 6
6 6 Olympic Force (CA) Blanc B Wilmot W 7.70 4
7 7 Herecometheirish (CA) Olguin G Abrams B 20.80 9
8 8 Trenton’s a Tease (CA) Enriquez I Warren D 10.70 7
9 9 Don’s Early Flight (CA) Arambula P O’Neill D 16.40 5
 
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $7.00 $3.20 $2.40
1 $2.80 $2.40
3 $2.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $8.90 (4-1)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $913.00 (6-5-4)
$1.00 Superfecta
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Saturday, Santa Anita Race 3 — 1:31 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up

Possible overlays                    Morning line

#1 Six Pack Man                        5/2
#3 Captain Charisma                   4/1
#4 Senor Afortunado                 3/1
#7 Herecometheirish               15/1

In his last two races, #4 Senor Afortunado was wide both times, but ran well nevertheless. Also, #1 Six Pack Man got a 4-wide trip on Dec. 26 when running a 70 Beyer Speed Figure, and #3 Captain Charisma was very wide when running a 68 BSF on Jan. 19.

Trainer Barry Abrams is wheeling back #7 Herecomestheirish within seven days of his last start. The last 19 times that an Abrams horse has come back this quickly, resulted in 5 wins, which paid an average of $11 each.

I will bet $200 on #4 Senor Afortunado at 2/1 and higher and $200 on either #1 Six Pack Man or #3 Captain Charisma — but only if they are 2/1 to 3/1, otherwise I am leaving them alone.

If for some reason both of them are 2/1 to 3/1, then I’ll bet the money on #1 Six Pack Man.

Finally, I’ll put $100 on #7 Herecometheirish at 5/1 to 19/1.

Monday, Santa Anita Race 4 — 2:03 p.m. post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#1 Larrylarrylarry                             9/2
#10 Six Pack Man                            7/2

Many of these horses ran together in a 6-1/2 furlong race on Dec. 26. Although, #5 Whizer finished better than #10 Six Pack Man, I like the latter horse more because trainer Mike Puype is doing well this meet with horses returning from recent long layoffs.

On the rail, #1 Larrylarrylarry is another who could get the job done at the right price.

I will bet $400 on #10 Six Pack Man at 2/1 to 7/2, but only $200 if he drifts up to 4/1 or higher. Also, I want $300 to win on #1 Larrylarrylarry at 2/1 or above.uy

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