Maiden Special Weight, 5 furlongs, 2-year-old fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Ghost Shadow 5/1
#2 Gambling Pokerface 20/1
#3 Magic Yodeler 5/1
#4 Rote 5/1
#5 Necessary Evil 7/2
#6 Mi Sueno 4/1
#7 Lena Miss 20/1
#8 Laura’s Pleasure 8/1
#9 Win for M’lou 9/2
I couldn’t throw anybody out right now.
Because I think any of the horses can win this race, which has eight first-timers going out of the nine starters. The most likely winner of the debuters is #5 Necessary Evil, who is trained by Doug O’Neill. This filly has three swift workouts showing in her past performances and O’Neill won with four of his last 12 with this type of 2 year old.
The Hollywood Park morning line maker rated six of the eight first timers at odds of between 7-to-2 and 8-to-1. But I think two or three of these fillies will be greater than 10-to-1 and those are the ones that I will wager on.
The one experienced runner is #9 Win for M’lou. She showed some decent speed in her debut.
My bets will be $200 to win on #5 Necessary Evil at 7/2 or more; and $150 to win on any of these horses at 10/1 to 19/1 only: #1 Ghost Shadow, #2 Gambling Pokerface, #3 Magic Yodeler, #4 Rote, #6 Mi Sueno, #7 Lena Miss and #8 Laura’s Pleasure.
If two or fewer of the horses above fall into the betting zone, then I will also bet $200 on #9 Win for M’lou at 5/2 to 7/1 only. But if I’m able to bet three or more of the firsters, then I won’t wager on Win for M’lou at all.
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June 1, 2009 at 11:00 PM
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