Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 2 — lost $450

February 24, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Julio Canani won with #5 Lady Lumberjack, who paid $3.

Trainer Julio Canani won with #5 Lady Lumberjack, who paid $3.

It didn’t take long for the public to realize who the favorite would be in this race. Somebody (trainer Julio Canani??) must have plunked down $15,000 on #5 Lady Lumberjack because she was 1-to-9 a few minutes into the betting.

I happened to look at the win pool with more than 20 minutes to post, and Lady Lumberjack had $19,000 on her while the other contenders had only $4,000 to $5,000 bet on each of them.

Julio Canani trains Lady Lumberjack and many of his contending horses are so heavily bet that wagering on them is out of the question. Anyway, Lady Lumberjack, who went off at 1-to-2, looked like a solid contender in here, but her odds were ridiculously low. She broke well and stalked #3 Lion Heart’s Bluff down the backstretch.

On the turn, the Bob Baffert-trained #9 Hard Kisses, a 10-to-1 first time starter, was hung out four wide and running well about four lengths back. On the rail, another debuter #7 Shiksa, at 11-to-1,  was in last place preparing to rally.

As the field swung for home, Lady Lumberjack took over from the game 50-to-1 shot Lion Heart’s Bluff and began easing away. But jockey Joe Talamo swung Shiksa off the rail and was closing fast.

In the end, Shiksa ran out of ground and missed by about a half a length with Hard Kisses a length behind the winner, Lady Lumberjack.

My bets ended up being $200 on #4 White Lamb — who made no impact –$150 on #7 Shiksa and $100 on #9 Hard Kisses. 

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Godfrey Queen (KY) Baze M Guillot E 32.40 7
2 2 Desert Rose Drive (KY) Husbands P Casse M 10.30 6
3 3 Lion Heart’s Bluff (KY) Potts C Rosales R 51.80 4
4 4 White Lamb (FL) Gomez G Harty E 6.00 9
5 5 Lady Lumberjack (KY) Bejarano R Canani J 0.50 1
6 6 Guided Wave (KY) Rosario J Gallagher P 19.90 5
7 7 Shiksa (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 11.20 2
8 8 Smart Tiffany (KY) Valdivia, Jr. J Lobo P 30.70 8
9 9 Hard Kisses (ON) Flores D Baffert B 10.70 3
 
Pgm Win Place Show
5 $3.00 $2.40 $2.10
7 – $6.40 $4.60
9 – – $4.20
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $12.00 (5-7)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $1043.80 (5-7-9
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Sunday, Santa Anita Race 2 — 1 pm post time

February 21, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#1 Godfrey Queen                              15/1
#4 White Lamb                                   5/2
#7 Shiksa                                         10/1
#9 Hard Kisses                                    5/1

Julio Canani trains #5 Lady Lumberjack and she has the kind of standout Beyer Speed Figures that ensure she’ll be overbet. I just hope she doesn’t scratch, because I see several potential money horses in here.

On Jan. 11, #4 White Lamb with Garrett Gomez aboard was stalking the pace on the rail down the backstretch. As the field swung into the turn, Gomez was boxed in behind a three-horse wall with another runner right outside of him. Gomez did his best to run toward a seam, but it closed quickly and he had to steady then was bumped. Gomez, who usually rides his mounts maniacally in the stretch, could find no room for White Lamb and the jockey could never get into this one.

One huge drawback is that this trouble is very obvious on the replay and in the past I’ve seen horses who had huge problems in the stretch get bet too low the next time out. Also, Garrett Gomez will not help the price, so I’ll  likely be looking elsewhere.

Bob Baffert trains #9 Hard Kisses, who has been really rolling during morning workouts and looks live. Other first timers that look like good possibilities include #1 Godfrey Queen and #7 Shiksa.

I will bet $350 to win on #9 Hard Kisses at 7/2 to 9/1 but just $100 at 10/1 to 19/1. Also, I want $100 on #1 Godfrey Queen at 7/2 to 9/1, but $150 at 10/1 to 19/1. My bet on #7 Shiksa, will be $150 from 7/2 to 19/1.

If Hard Kisses is bet below 7/2, or higher than 9/1, then I’ll take $200 to win on #4 White Lamb at 5/2 or higher, with all other potential betting scenarios still in play.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . 1 Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 8 — lost $600

February 21, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Bob Baffert and Garrett Gomez combined on #4 Zensational, who paid $3.20.

Trainer Bob Baffert and Garrett Gomez combined on #4 Zensational, who paid $3.20.

No matter what bettors gave the most priority to when handicapping this race, they all landed on #4 Zensational.

For those who play trainers, Zensational had Bob Baffert. For people who follow jockeys, the rider was Garrett Gomez. Workouts? Six quick ones including three bullets. Breeding and confirmation? The owner bought Zensational for $700,000, so the genes are top notch. Speed? Had the lead in his debut.

Even  people who bet nothing but gray horses liked him, as he’s a roan.

Much like Big Brown in last year’s Belmont, this horse looked so good that he couldn’t be bet. Everyone at the track had him, everyone at the Indian casinos loved Zensational and I’m sure the money was pouring through the windows on him in Vegas.

He went off at 60 cents on the dollar, and at that rate Zensational — and horses like him — need to win seven of 10 races to make any money for their backers. If they win six — you lose. And in horse racing, too many things can go wrong to take that price.

Yes, Zensational couldn’t lose and he didn’t. His backers will tell you that they made a quick 60 percent profit in just over a minute, and not even Bernard Madoff promised anything close to that.

But just enjoy the feeling while it lasts folks, and please do me a favor and keep pounding those 3-to-5 shots. Next time, however, just remember that  funny things have been known to happen at the racetrack.

My plays in this race were $200 to win on these three horses: #1 Gold Schleiger at 5/1, #7 Off the Wall at 11/1 and #8 Party Hard at 8/1.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Gold Schleiger (FL) Baze M Mullins J 5.30 7
2 2 Ginello (KY) Rosario J Dollase C 16.70 9
3 3 Steel Blue (KY) Rios J Frankel R 31.20 8
4 4 Zensational (KY) Gomez G Baffert B 0.60 1
5 5 Mr. Bossy Pants (KY) Husbands P Barba A 41.30 5
6 6 Arcodoro (KY) Arambula P Guillot E 29.90 6
7 7 Off the Wall (KY) Smith M Headley B 11.00 2
8 8 Party Hard (KY) Talamo J Greely C 8.00 4
9 9 Iron Fortitude (KY) Bejarano R Pletcher T 9.40 3
SCR – Brian the Brave (KY) Sutherland C O’Callaghan C – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $3.20 $2.80 $2.40
7 – $7.40 $5.00
9 – – $4.20
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $13.30 (4-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $140.40 (2-11-4)
$1.00 Superfecta paid
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s, Uncategorized. Tags: , , , . Leave a Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 1 — won $585

January 27, 2009 — maidenking

gordon-middle

Coming into this race, Black Magic Mama lost five starts, but was bet down to 4-to-5 because of the company she was keeping. She competed in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, two other Southern California stakes and twice lost to Eclipse Award winner Stardom Bound. 

But her top Beyer Speed Figure was just an 81, which tops the 80 median figure needed to win this race, but does not justify her short price.

Because Black Magic Mama was bet too low, it increased the prices on some of the other contenders, namely #1 Air Fair. This filly, ridden by Joel Rosario, trailed the field down the backstretch then rallied wide on the turn to reach contention. It was a long stretch battle, but Air Fair finally wore down first-time starter #6 Ultra Awesome in the lane.

Black Magic Mama didn’t fire and finished fourth is this six horse field.

I bet $150 on #1 Air Fair at 7-to-2. 

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Air Fair (KY) Rosario J Paasch C 3.90 1
2 2 Black Magic Mama (FL) Bejarano R O’Neill D 0.90 4
3 3 Moon Over Malibu (KY) Baze M Guillot E 27.60 6
4 4 Broken Silence (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 2.50 2
5 5 Panorama Ridge (KY) Gomez G Frankel R 7.30 5
6 6 Ultra Awesome (KY) Baze T Yakteen T 26.20 3
 
Pgm Win Place Show
1 $9.80 $4.20 $3.40
4 – $3.40 $3.20
6 – – $6.20
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $14.90 (1-4)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $105.80 (1-4-6)
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Sunday, Santa Anita Race 1 — 12:30 p.m. post time

January 25, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 7 furlongs, 3-yo fillies

Possible overlays                    Morning line

#1 Air Fair                                      7/2
#2 Black Magic Mama                       2/1
#4 Broken Silence                            5/2

For a maiden, #2 Black Magic Mama has been keeping unbelievable company. Of her five races, she ran in three grade 1’s that included the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. Of course, she lost all five times, but two of them were to Stardom Bound who is the probable Eclipse Award winner.

Stardom Bound’s trainer Christopher Paasch saddles #1 Air Fair in this race. Air Fair is making her third start and she has a good running style for 7 furlongs.

Of the three second-time starters running, I like #4 Broken Silence the best, but only because she’s been working out better than #5 Panorama Ridge. I acknowledge that you can’t ask for better connections than the ones associated with Panorama Ridge, as Bobby Frankel trains and Garrett Gomez rides.

I will wager $200 on #2 Black Magic Mama at 2/1 or more. If her post time odds are 9/5 or less, then I’ll take $150 on #1 Air Fair at 3/1 or better.

If for some reason those two horse are bet below 2/1 then my bet is $150 on #4 Broken Silence at 5/2 or more.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s, Uncategorized. Tags: , , . 1 Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 5 — won $1,080

January 24, 2009 — maidenking

see-full-size-image1In this 10-horse field, five of the colts were between 5-to-2 and 6-to-1, which says to me that the public really couldn’t tell who the best horse was.

But soon after the race began, it became increasingly clear that #4 Wall Street Wonder towered over this field and may very well be a stakes horse. The Bob Baffert-trained second-time starter immediately shot to a clear lead, then really poured it on in the stretch to win by 5-1/4 lengths.

I bet $400 on Wall Street Wonder, and was eyeballing first-timers #2 Vanquest and #6 Bridging, but neither fell into the 10/1 to 19/1 odds range that I was looking for.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Warring Heart (KY) Valdivia, Jr. J Canani J 22.00 8
2 2 Vanquest (NY) Baze T Sadler J 28.60 6
3 3 Pleasure to Ride (KY) Coa E Hollendorfer J 13.90 7
4 4 Wall Street Wonder (FL) Rosario J Baffert B 2.70 1
5 5 Tevez the Tiger (KY) Bejarano R Harty E 3.40 4
6 6 Bridging (KY) Nakatani C Puype M 4.50 5
7 7 Degree of Power (KY) Gomez G Frankel R 6.40 2
8 8 Steel Blue (KY) Rios J Frankel R 23.00 9
9 9 Mythical Power (KY) Espinoza V Baffert B 6.10 3
10 10 Crack Thepat (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 19.00 10
 
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $7.40 $4.20 $3.00
7 – $7.20 $4.40
9 – – $4.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $24.80 (4-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $72.70 (7-5-4)
$1.00 Superfecta
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , . Leave a Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 4 — won $1,300

January 18, 2009 — maidenking

imgres27Jockey Corey Nakatani sprang to the lead with #2 Hudler, who held a clear advantage on the backstretch.

On the turn, Hudler was running easily with Nakatani hardly moving his hands, however behind him Martin Garcia was asking #6 Dona Mary for everything she had. In third place, jockey Alex Solis had the 7-to-5 favorite #5 High Note also under an all-out race ride. 

But nobody was catching Hudler, who won without breaking a sweat.

I bet $200 on this first-time starter, as her 7-to-1 odds fell into my range of 5-to-1 and above. I also put $200 on second-timer #6 Dona Mary, and was considering winning trainer Doug O’Neill’s other entry #7 Runway Starlet. But she was 2-to-1, which I thought was too poor of a wagering price.

I also liked first timer #5 High Note, but was interested at 10-to-1 and higher, not her post time odds of 7-to-5.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY tTRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Charming Meadow (CA) Baze T Saavedra A 22.20 6
2 2 Hudler (CA) Nakatani C O’Neill D 7.50 1
3 3 Not Unusual (CA) Rosario J Sherman A 13.30 8
4 4 Warren’s Royal Mom (CA) Gomez G Gutierrez J 14.70 5
5 5 High Note (CA) Solis A Hendricks D 1.40 3
6 6 Dona Mary (CA) Garcia M Gonzalez S 5.30 4
7 7 Runway Starlet (CA) Bejarano R O’Neill D 2.20 2
8 8 Laura Beasley (CA) Delgadillo A McFarlane D 51.80 7
 
Pgm Win Place Show
2 $17.00 $6.00 $3.40
7 – $3.60 $2.40
5 – – $2.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $25.20 (2-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $126.80 (7-4-2)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid $2392.50 (5-7-4-2)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $262.30 (2-7-5-6)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $67.50 (2-7-5)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $93.20 (4-2)
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 6 — lost $300

January 12, 2009 — maidenking

It is said that trainer Julio Canani likes to heavily bet his horses, so they usually offer little value

It is said that trainer Julio Canani likes to heavily bet his horses, so they usually offer little value

I never seem to be on a Julio Canani-trained horse when they win because they’re always bet too low. From what I hear, it’s because this trainer is a huge Southern California bettor.  

However, wagering against Canani has been profitable in the past because, when he brings a suitcase full of money to the window, it boosts the odds on the other horses. And his ponies lose quite often.

But on Sunday, the Canani-trained #5 Miss Silver Brook made her first start a winning one. The gray filly laid off the pace early, then jockey Alex Solis rallied her on the outside where she mowed down #8 Ride Me Fast and #1 Storm the Church in the stretch. 

But she paid a paltry $6.80, which is a price that doesn’t come close to covering the risks associated with a horse running in its first lifetime start. Even Secretariat lost the first time he ran.

But enough history. Back to this race: Trainer Jeff Mullins had two fillies going  — the 9-to-5 shot #6 No Saint But Sweet and #1 Storm the Church at 10-to-1. And the longer- odds horse ran better. I bet $150 on Storm the Church, a debuter, who broke slowly but came on strong with a run four-paths wide on the turn. She held the lead at the top of the stretch before fading to third.

Jockey Garrett Gomez was stuck behind a wall of horses at the eighth pole while riding #2 White Lamb, who I also bet $150 on at 9-to-2. This horse looked like he wanted to make a run, as race caller Trevor Denman commented, “White Lamb needs somewhere to go,” at the eighth pole —  and with a sixteenth of a mile to run  “White Lamb desperate to get through.”

But Gomez couldn’t find any room.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Storm the Church (KY) Arambula P Mullins J 10.00 3
2 2 White Lamb (FL) Gomez G Harty E 4.80 5
3 3 Shadow Queen (CA) Pedroza M Fernandez V 20.50 6
5 4 Miss Silver Brook (KY) Solis A Canani J 2.40 1
6 5 No Saint But Sweet (FL) Talamo J Mullins J 1.80 4
8 6 Ride Me Fast (KY) Baze T Baffert B 3.20 2
SCR – Black Magic Mama (FL) Bejarano R O’Neill D – –
SCR – Guided Wave (KY) Rosario J Gallagher P – –

Pgm Win Place Show
5 $6.80 $4.20 $3.40
8 – $4.80 $4.00
1 – – $4.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $14.70 (5-8)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $223.20 (2-6-5)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $179.20 (5-8-1-6)

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Sunday, Santa Anita Race 6 — 3:05 p.m. post time

January 11, 2009 — maidenking

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies

Possible overlays                                   Morning line

#1 Storm the Church                               12/1
#2 White Lamb                                       9/2
#4 Guided Wave                                       8/1
#6 No Saint But Sweet                              5/2
#7 Black Magic Mama                                7/2
#8 Ride Me Fast                                       5/1

I wouldn’t be surprised to see any filly but #3 Shadow Queen win this race. So, I’ll use the tote board as a guide, make some good bets at decent odds, and everything should work out in the long run.

Coming off a six-month layoff, #2 White Lamb should be near the front of the pack at the quarter pole. On July 5 at Arlington Park, White Lamb was bet to 6-to-5 in a 10 horse field and she flashed early speed before fading, however jockey Rene Douglas merely breezed her from the eighth pole to the wire.

The median Beyer Speed Figure to win this race is an 80, and trainer Jeff Mullins runner #6 No Saint But Sweet earned a 79 Beyer in her Dec. 7 debut. She broke slowly and came running late that day. Mullins also sends out first-timer #1 Storm the Church, who will have no-name jockey Pedro Arambula aboard, and she has several good workouts that make her a good bet at the right price.

On New Year’s Day, Mullins won with a hidden entry horse named Jaylo’s Mark at 10-to-1. She was running for the second time while Mullins’ first-time starter Katie G. finished seventh at 11-to-1.

Also debuting in this race is #8 Ride Me Fast. Although owner Mike Pegram hasn’t historically done well with this type, if Ride Me Fast gets some betting action then she’ll fit the profile of winning Bob Baffert first timers.

Finally, #4 Guided Wave broke slowly in her first race before making a decent run and she could wake up. And trainer Doug O’Neill must think highly of #7 Black Magic Mama because she ran in both the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies and the Hollywood Starlet. Today, she cuts back to a sprint, but I’d like her more if they were going 6-1/2 or 7 furlongs.

I will bet $200 on #8 Ride Me Fast from 7/2 to 9/1, but just $100 if her post time odds drift up to between 10/1 and 19/1. I want $150 on #1 Storm the Church at 7/2 to 19/1 and $150 on #2 White Lamb if her post time odds are 2/1 to 6/1. 

If White Lamb’s odds fall out of the betting zone — either too high or too low — then I’ll  put $150 on #6 No Saint But Sweet at 2/1 or higher. 

Note: I also plan to bet the ninth race today, which goes off at 4:38 p.m., but won’t be able to post it until 3:30.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , . 1 Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 3 — won $840

January 4, 2009 — maidenking

imgres8Trainer Bob Baffert had #9 Gotmymojoworkin surrounded by his two-horse hidden entry at the top of the lane. But neither the 2-to-1 favorite Street Car or the speedy Wall Street Wonder could run down the stubborn Florida bred.

Jockey Martin Garcia hustled #9 Gotmymojoworkin from the gate and the 3-year-old debuter shot to the front. But on Garcia’s inside came Garrett Gomez aboard #2 Street Car, who surged to the lead up the rail. 

But Garcia didn’t panic, instead he sat chilly a length off the pace. At the top of the stretch, Gotmymojoworkin hit the front and clearly put Street Car away, but at the same time a new threat emerged outside from # 8 Wall Street Wonder. The two ran head-and-head to midstretch, before Gotmymojoworkin lived up to his name and shook away.

I ended up betting $200 on the winner at 5.7-1 and $300 on #8 Wall Street Wonder. Since #2 Street Car was bet below 7/2, my wager on him was not in play.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

GM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Pauper’s Prize (FL) Rosario J Cerin V 26.50 2
2 2 Street Car (KY) Gomez G Baffert B 2.30 9
3 3 Pleasure to Ride (KY) Bejarano R Hollendorfer J 6.30 8
4 4 Ego (KY) Arambula P Vargas J 84.30 7
5 5 Mr. President (FL) Espinoza V Shirreffs J 15.40 6
6 6 Jeranimo (FL) Court J Pender M 14.00 3
7 7 Snapshot (KY) Flores D Sise, Jr. C 2.00 5
8 8 Wall Street Wonder (FL) Nakatani C Baffert B 9.60 4
9 9 Gotmymojoworkin (FL) Garcia M Sadler J 5.70 1

Pgm Win Place Show
9 $13.40 $8.40 $6.80
1 – $20.20 $10.20
6 – – $8.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $164.10 (9-1)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $722.30 (3-7-9)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $15890.30 (9-1-6-8)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $1172.30 (9-1-6)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $116.20 (7-9)

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Thursday Race 2 — won $370

January 1, 2009 — maidenking

imgres1

The Craig Dollase-effect took hold as the public loaded up on #7 Auntgrace, hammering her to an unbettable 6/5. But that only meant her main competitor #6 Dancing Erin was a better price. Both fillies were racing in their second lifetime starts but Dancing Erin ran better in her debut, holding a clear lead into the stretch and earning a higher Beyer Speed Figure.

On Thursday, Dancing Erin got loose on the lead while jockey Arambula slowed things down so his horse had enough left in the stretch to win by four lengths. I was waiting for 5/2 on either Auntgrace or Dancing Erin, so my $200 bet was in play on the winner.

Also, I wagered $150 on #3 Broken Silence who finished second after clicking into the 10/1-to-19/1 betting zone in the final flash.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Podre de Chic (KY) Almeida G Sahadi J 40.70 7
2 2 Slammin Kat (KY) Nakatani C Tekos, Jr. A 4.10 4
3 3 Broken Silence (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 10.70 2
4 4 Misstrailcityzone (CA) Rosario J Nettles K 32.70 6
5 5 Dothetwist (KY) Pedroza M Mollica M 8.20 3
6 6 Dancing Erin (CA) Arambula P Sherlock G 2.60 1
7 7 Auntgrace (FL) Baze M Dollase C 1.10 5
 
Pgm Win Place Show
6 $7.20 $4.20 $3.60
3 – $10.20 $5.60
5 – – $5.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $27.10 (6-3)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $151.60 (6-3-5)
$2.00 Daily Double paid $16.00 (6-6)
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Thursday Santa Anita Race 2 — 12:31 p.m. post time

January 1, 2009 — maidenking

 

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-olds

Possible overlays                               Morning line

#3 Broken Silence                                   5/1
#4 Misstrailcityzone                             15/1
#6 Dancing Erin                                      2/1
#7 Auntgrace                                         5/2

Two second-time starters in here figure to be the favorites. On Dec. 11, #6 Dancing Erin was bet to 7/2 and had a three-length lead on six rivals, but finished second by 2-1/2 lengths. Just outside of her today, #7 Auntgrace ran evenly on Aug. 30, but was only five Beyer Speed Figure points behind Dancing Erin. Additionally, Auntgrace’s trainer Craig Dollase won with eight of his last 25 second-time starters or 32 percent. 

First time starters #3 Broken Silence and #4 Misstrailcityzone look like good bets at the right price. Broken Silence is trained by Patrick “Cobra Venom” Biancone who recently returned from a year-long suspension after investigators found snake venom when they searched his barn on June 22, 2007. The venom can be used as a nerve-blocking agent.

If either #6 Dancing Erin or #7 Auntgrace go off at 5/2 or more then I want $200 to win on the longest of the two. If both are 2/1 or less, then I won’t bet either. Also, I want $150 to win on #3 Broken Silence and #4 Misstrailcityzone, but only if their odds are between 10/1 and 19/1.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Results Santa Anita Friday Race 3 — lost $750

December 27, 2008 — maidenking

jockey-paddock-area-by-aceoutwide120Ended up betting $300 to win on #2 Unionize, who finished second at 15/1 and $450 on #4 Infernal at 3/1. These horses were beaten by Point Encounter, a low-odds first time starter, which I consider one of the worst long-term bets in maiden racing.  Point Encounter made his backers look like geniuses today, though.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Valkyrie Missile (KY) Nakatani C Puype M 22.00 3
2 2 Unionize (KY) Flores D Sise, Jr. C 15.90 2
3 3 Surprise Minister (KY) Court J Green J 11.00 5
4 4 Infernal (KY) Baze M Dollase C 3.10 4
5 5 Mi Forest Amor (KY) Potts C Capestro P 37.50 8
6 6 Point Encounter (KY) Smith M Gaines C 1.30 1
8 7 Pemba At U. T. K. (CA) Rodriguez A Ho H 96.30 7
9 8 Tevez the Tiger (KY) Bejarano R Harty E 2.40 6
SCR – Pauper’s Prize (FL) Gomez G Cerin V – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
6 $4.60 $4.00 $3.20
2 – $10.80 $6.40
1 – – $5.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $20.80 (6-2)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $168.00 (3-3-6)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $565.80 (6-2-1-4)
Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Leave a Comment »
Newer posts »