Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 1 — won $585

January 27, 2009 — maidenking

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Coming into this race, Black Magic Mama lost five starts, but was bet down to 4-to-5 because of the company she was keeping. She competed in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, two other Southern California stakes and twice lost to Eclipse Award winner Stardom Bound. 

But her top Beyer Speed Figure was just an 81, which tops the 80 median figure needed to win this race, but does not justify her short price.

Because Black Magic Mama was bet too low, it increased the prices on some of the other contenders, namely #1 Air Fair. This filly, ridden by Joel Rosario, trailed the field down the backstretch then rallied wide on the turn to reach contention. It was a long stretch battle, but Air Fair finally wore down first-time starter #6 Ultra Awesome in the lane.

Black Magic Mama didn’t fire and finished fourth is this six horse field.

I bet $150 on #1 Air Fair at 7-to-2. 

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Air Fair (KY) Rosario J Paasch C 3.90 1
2 2 Black Magic Mama (FL) Bejarano R O’Neill D 0.90 4
3 3 Moon Over Malibu (KY) Baze M Guillot E 27.60 6
4 4 Broken Silence (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 2.50 2
5 5 Panorama Ridge (KY) Gomez G Frankel R 7.30 5
6 6 Ultra Awesome (KY) Baze T Yakteen T 26.20 3
 
Pgm Win Place Show
1 $9.80 $4.20 $3.40
4 – $3.40 $3.20
6 – – $6.20
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $14.90 (1-4)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $105.80 (1-4-6)
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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 1 — 12:30 p.m. post time

January 25, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 7 furlongs, 3-yo fillies

Possible overlays                    Morning line

#1 Air Fair                                      7/2
#2 Black Magic Mama                       2/1
#4 Broken Silence                            5/2

For a maiden, #2 Black Magic Mama has been keeping unbelievable company. Of her five races, she ran in three grade 1’s that included the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. Of course, she lost all five times, but two of them were to Stardom Bound who is the probable Eclipse Award winner.

Stardom Bound’s trainer Christopher Paasch saddles #1 Air Fair in this race. Air Fair is making her third start and she has a good running style for 7 furlongs.

Of the three second-time starters running, I like #4 Broken Silence the best, but only because she’s been working out better than #5 Panorama Ridge. I acknowledge that you can’t ask for better connections than the ones associated with Panorama Ridge, as Bobby Frankel trains and Garrett Gomez rides.

I will wager $200 on #2 Black Magic Mama at 2/1 or more. If her post time odds are 9/5 or less, then I’ll take $150 on #1 Air Fair at 3/1 or better.

If for some reason those two horse are bet below 2/1 then my bet is $150 on #4 Broken Silence at 5/2 or more.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s, Uncategorized. Tags: , , . 1 Comment »
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