Sunday, Santa Anita Race 7 — 3:36 pm

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6-1/2 furlongs, Cal-bred fillies

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#2 Bell Canyon Road                        15/1
#5 Ruby Slippers                             20/1
#6 Irish Pepper                                5/2
#7 I Can Hear                                  5/1
#9 Champagneforchelle                  20/1

Because jockey Garrett Gomez chooses to ride #6 Irish Pepper it will probably go off at the unbettable odds of 5-to-2 or less. The filly looks like she has a pretty good chance to win first time out, but I won’t back her at anything less than 5-to-1.

Instead, I will be looking hard at debuters #2 Bell Canyon Road and #7 I Can Hear, who look just as good and should pay much better. Other first timers with an outside chance are #5 Ruby Slippers and #9 Champagneforchelle, but I won’t go for them if they’re dead on the board.

My bets are $250 to win on #2 Bell Canyon Road from 3/1 to 9/1 and $250 on #7 I Can Hear from 3/1 to 19/1. Also, if Bell Canyon Road drifts from 10-to-1 to 14-to-1, then I’m reducing my bet to $100. 

Finally, if somehow #6 Irish Pepper is 5/1 or more at post time, then I’ll bet $200 on her; and I’ll take $100 on both #5 Ruby Slippers and #9 Champagneforchelle, only in the unlikely scenario where they fall into the 10/1 to 19/1 odds zone.

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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 5 — 2:34 pm post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies

Possible overlays                       Morning line

#2 Play Reveille                                 5/2
#4 Dream Season                              6/1
#7 Track Majesty                             5/1
#8 Roll Model                                    4/1

Historically, Harris Farms, Inc. has been tremendous with second-time starters. They own #2 Play Reveille, who broke slowly in her first start then took the lead before weakening in the stretch. The main knock on this horse is that jockey Joel Rosario opts for #7 Track Majesty.

Coming off a six-month layoff, Track Majesty should be right near the lead and is a huge threat to wire the field. She had a decent workout Feb. 9, but the rest are slow. However, that is common practice for this barn.

I give two other second-time starters a puncher’s chance: #4 Dream Season delivered a satisfactory rally in her Jan. 23 debut and #8 Roll Model ran OK first time out, also.

But I will bet $250 on both #2 Play Reveille and #7 Track Majesty at 2/1 or more.

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 3 — won $400

money-by-tw-collins

When looking at the past performances for #4 Senor Afortunado you see comments like “7-wide into lane” on  Feb. 23, 2008, “5-wide into lane” on Nov. 28, “3-wide into stretch” on Dec. 21, and his last race two weeks ago, “4-wide into lane.”

Rallying wide is a good way to stay out of trouble, but horses who lose too much ground on the turn tend to finish second and third a lot. On Saturday, it was clear that Senor Afortunado was going to be nowhere near the rail, so the big question became would his wide trip cause him to hang in the stretch once again? 

And the big answer was, no it would not.

As expected, jockey Joel Rosario had Senor Afortunado rallying in his familiar 4-wide path on the turn. In midstretch, the horse battled with 3-to-2 favorite #1 Six Pack Man, who had just inherited the lead from front-running #3 Captain Charisma.

Nearing the wire, Senor Afortunado hung tough and had enough left to outlast Six Pack Man by a head.

My wagers were $200 to win on Senor Afortunado and $100 on #7 Herecometheirish, who stumbled badly at the start causing jockey Jerry Olguin to fall off.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Six Pack Man (KY) Talamo J Puype M 1.50 2
2 2 My Apple Martini (KY) Couton J Papaprodromou G 59.10 8
3 3 Captain Charisma (CA) Potts C Aguirre P 4.60 3
4 4 Senor Afortunado (CA) Rosario J Periban J 2.50 1
5 5 Beckett (CA) Rios J Dupuis J 49.70 6
6 6 Olympic Force (CA) Blanc B Wilmot W 7.70 4
7 7 Herecometheirish (CA) Olguin G Abrams B 20.80 9
8 8 Trenton’s a Tease (CA) Enriquez I Warren D 10.70 7
9 9 Don’s Early Flight (CA) Arambula P O’Neill D 16.40 5
 
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $7.00 $3.20 $2.40
1 $2.80 $2.40
3 $2.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $8.90 (4-1)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $913.00 (6-5-4)
$1.00 Superfecta
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