Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Lanie’s Way 4/1
#4 Serena’s Echo 15/1
#7 A Taco Short 3/1
#8 Jet Set Lass 12/1
#9 Play Reveille 9/2
The median Beyer Speed Figure for this race is a 68 and either this is going to be a weak race for the class or one of these runners is going to pop a lifetime best Beyer number.
The horse that has shown the quickest quarter mile burst is #8 Jet Set Lass and that’s important at 5-1/2 furlongs. Jet Set Lass is better than she shows in the Daily Racing Form where she hasn’t been less than 20-to-1 in her last four races.
In her last race on Feb 15, Jet Set Lass appeared to want to make a run in the stretch, but was stuck behind a wall of horses. When she finally got going, the race was nearly over.
Breaking from the rail, #1 Lanie’s Way ran well on Feb. 22, which was her first race back in six months. Also, #7 A Taco Short has been training well and she gained good ground in the stretch of her Feb. 5 debut. In that race, A Taco Short earned a 62, which is the best overall Beyer Speed Figure of these fillies.
Of the three first timers running, #4 Serena’s Echo is a good gamble at the right price.
Finally, #9 Play Reveille is owned by Harris Farms, Inc. whose maidens usually win early and are often heavily bet when they’re live. This Northern California farm has its own Thoroughbred trainer and race track which allows their runners to come to Southern California ready to go.
I will bet $150 to win on #8 Jet Set Lass at 5/1 to 14/1 but just $100 at 15/1 or more. Also, I’ll take $200 to win on #1 Lanie’s Way at 2/1 to 7/2 only, and $200 on #7 A Taco Short at 3/1 and up. If the Harris Farm money shows up knocking #9 Play Reveille to 2/1 to 7/2, then I will take $200 on her while canceling the bets on Lanie’s Way and A Taco Short.
Finally, I’ll wager $150 to win on first timer #4 Serena’s Echo at 10/1 to 19/1 only.