Maiden Claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#3 Tripped Fuse 5/2
#7 Martini Mixer 8/1
#9 Misstrailcityzone 12/1
#10 Greek Advantage 15/1
Two experienced horses figure to get all of the betting action. Both #3 Tripped Fuse and #6 Michelle Marie certainly have the ability to win this race, but neither will probably be more than 3-to-1.
One intriguing filly is first-time starter #7 Martini Mixer. Trained by Brian Koriner, Martini Mixer is showing several good workouts and she fits the profile of a winning debut horse. Also, of the last 123 horses jockey Joe Talamo rode for Koriner, 28 of them won with the average payoff being $11.
That means if you bet them all, you would have made $1.25 for every $1 bet.
The best early speed in this race might belong to #9 Misstrailcityzone, who led until midstretch on April 4 at 108-to-1. As long as this filly stays healthy and runs in races at 6 furlongs or less, she’ll break her maiden somewhere. But she may need a different circuit and softer competition.
However, she’s also improving and when Misstrailcityzone quit badly last time it was at 6-1/2 furlongs where speed isn’t as important. Who knows, she just may keep on going today and pay $25.
Finally, #10 Greek Advantage is debuting for trainer Thomas Bell II and she’d also be a good bet if the price is right.
I will bet $400 to win on #7 Martini Mixer at 5/2 to 14/1, but just $100 if she’s 15/1 to 19/1. Also, I’ll take $100 to win on #9 Misstrailcityzone at 5/1 to 19/1, and reduce the wager to $25 at odds at 20/1 or more.
Finally, I’ll put $200 to win on #10 Greek Advantage at 10/1 to 19/1.
April 19, 2009 at 11:34 PM
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