Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 3 — won $1,695

April 19, 2009 — maidenking

e-pluribus-unumThe crowd in this race went for #6 Michelle Marie, who had recently competed in maiden special weight races with the likes of Irish Gypsy and Mother Ruth.

She ran OK to finish second at 6-to-5, but first-time starter #7 Martini Mixer was absolutely the best horse in this maiden claiming field. 

Jockey Joe Talamo broke Martini Mixer in the middle of the field where she followed six lengths behind a pack of four horses vying for the lead — #3 Tripped Fame, #4 Mary the Princess, #6 Michelle Marie and #9 Misstrailcityzone.

On the turn, Talamo began his rail-hugging rally then swang out for the drive.  Only two of the four pace setters remained at the top of the stretch and Martini Mixer blew by both Mary the Princess and Michelle Marie to win by about three lengths.

I thought Martini Mixer, who is trained by Brian Koriner, had a good chance and bet $400 on her. I collected $2,080 and profited $1,655, as I also put $25 on 22-to-1 shot Misstrailcityzone.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

 

 

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 St. Rosalind (KY) Baze M Headley G 27.20 5
3 2 Tripped Fuse (FL) Baze T Glatt M 3.90 8
4 3 Mary the Princess (CA) Bejarano R Periban J 7.00 4
5 4 Daniella Roth (CA) Garcia M Stein R 27.10 6
6 5 Michelle Marie (KY) Rosario J West T 1.20 2
7 6 Martini Mixer (CA) Talamo J Koriner B 4.30 1
8 7 Ata Pretense (CA) Arambula P Burnison E 56.20 9
9 8 Misstrailcityzone (CA) Quinonez A Nettles K 22.10 3
10 9 Greek Advantage (CA) Sorenson D Bell, II T 9.60 7
SCR – Roomantic (LA) Delgadillo A Hajek I – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
7 $10.60 $4.60 $3.60
6 – $2.80 $2.40
9 – – $6.60
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Consolation Pick 3 paid $109.30 (2-3-2)
$1.00 Exacta
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Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 10 — no bets

April 19, 2009 — maidenking
Leading jockey Rafael Bejarano won aboard #2 Foreign Taurean for trainer Steve Knapp

Leading jockey Rafael Bejarano won aboard #2 Foreign Taurean for trainer Steve Knapp

My horse in this race, #5 Victory Knock, was scratched in the morning, so I didn’t have any bets.

Victory Knock was the 2-to-1 morning line favorite and without him in the race, #2 Foreign Taurean was bet down to even money.

And Foreign Taurean, who is trained by Steve Knapp, won like an even money shot should win. He took the lead down the backstretch on a slow pace, remained in front on the turn, then pulled away in the stretch.

The win added to Bejarano’s lead in the jockey standings on the next to last day before the prestigious Santa Anita winter meet ends. As of April 15, Bejarano had a 93-to-86 lead in wins over Garrett Gomez.

However, in defense of Gomez, the 2007-2008 Eclipse Award winner leaves town more than Bejarano to ride in stakes races on the East Coast and Midwest.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Class Dismissed (KY) Rosario J Dunham D 5.70 3
2 2 Foreign Taurean (KY) Bejarano R Knapp S 1.00 1
3 3 Self Defense (CA) Gryder A Lewis C 4.10 4
4 4 Llamada Perdida (CA) Garcia M Garcia V 54.40 5
6 5 Joshomo (CA) Rios J Metz J 15.70 6
7 6 Brahms Medal (KY) Gavica G Dahl T 49.30 8
8 7 Kitty Caliente (CA) Hill C Matties G 3.90 2
9 8 Papa Doowop (NY) Nakatani C Truman E 16.70 7
SCR – Victory Knock (KY) Solis A Gallagher P – –
Pgm Win Place Show
2 $4.00 $2.60 $2.20
8 – $4.20 $3.60
1 – – $3.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $8.60 (2-8)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $102.00 (4-1-2)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid $401.30 (8-4-1-2/5)
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Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 6 — lost $400

April 19, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Ron Ellis continues to do well with horses coming off of layoffs

Trainer Ron Ellis continues to do well with horses coming off of layoffs

Horseplayers bet #2 Unionize in this race like he couldn’t lose.

And, of course, not only did he lose but Unionize didn’t even hit the board.

The Clifford Sise-trained colt was coming off of two second-place finishes where he earned Beyer Speed Figures of 90 and 87. Bettors pounded Unionize to 3-to-5, and I looked at the show pool with about 10 minutes to go and Unionize had $51,000 of the $60,000 that was wagered.

Obviously, a bride jumper dumped $40,000 to $45,000 to show on Unionize, which created inflated payoffs for the first, second and third finishers in that pool.

For example, #6 Speight the Halo ran third at 7-to-2 and paid $16.40 to show while #9 Truest Legend won the race, but his show payoff of $32.80 was larger than the $24.60 he paid to win.

Score one for the folks who bet horses across the board.

Truest Legend, who was making his second lifetime start, had a published purchase price of $240,000. But the best thing about him was that Ron Ellis was doing the training.

Coming into the race Ellis had won with four of his last 14 runners coming off layoffs of six months or more. And Truest Legend hadn’t run since September when he showed good speed at Fairplex before falling apart in the stretch at 53-to-1.

In this race, Truest Legend blasted from the gate and established a large lead by running the first quarter mile in 21.25 seconds. He rolled through the next quarter in 22.24 seconds, then if anybody was going to catch him they would have blown by when Truest Legend could only muster a third quarter in 25.52 seconds.

But none of the other eight horses made a move.

I focused my betting on #6 Speight the Halo, who I bet $200 on at 7/2 and boxed him in the exacta with the favorite for $100 each way.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

 

 

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Absolutlypositivly (CA) Garcia M Chew M 55.50 7
2 2 Unionize (KY) Baze T Sise, Jr. C 0.60 4
3 3 Collalto (CA) Baze M Chew M 44.10 8
4 4 Kumiva (KY) Bejarano R Bell, II T 10.20 5
5 5 Brian the Brave (KY) Hill C O’Callaghan C 29.90 6
6 6 Speight the Halo (KY) Gryder A Harty E 3.60 3
7 7 Margarita Shot (KY) Delgadillo A DeLeon R 11.50 2
8 8 Right One (KY) Rosario J Lobo P 20.00 9
9 9 Truest Legend (FL) Espinoza V Ellis R 11.30 1
 
Pgm Win Place Show
9 $24.60 $13.20 $32.80
7 – $10.80 $25.20
6 – – $16.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $100.30 (9-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $604.40 (8-6-9)
$1.00
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Gomez to ride Pioneerof the Nile in Ky Derby

April 19, 2009 — maidenking

At 9 am today, jockey Garrett Gomez announced on TVG that he will ride Pioneerof the Nile in the May 2 Kentucky Derby.

Gomez rode Pioneerof the Nile to four straight graded stakes victories and was also the regular rider for Florida Derby runner up Dunkirk.

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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 10 — 5:08 pm post time

April 19, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 6 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up f & m

Possible overlays                                Morning line

#3 Chic Chick                                        3/1
#7 Hannah’s Moment                         5/1

Darrell Vienna brings #3 Chic Chick back from a nine-month layoff and takes over the training from Lisa Lewis. Chic Chick showed enough ability when racing against maiden special weights last year to win a race in this class.

The speed of the race looks like #7 Hannah’s Moment who will be ridden by Rafael Bejarano. This mare had the lead at the half mile pole against $40,000 maiden claimers in two if her last four races.

But when she last ran on March 21 against this class, she never made the lead while running her poorest lifetime Beyer Speed Figure in six tries. However, she still finished second that day as the post time favorite.

I will bet $500 to win on #3 Chic Chick at 2/1 to 7/2, but just $200 at 4/1 or higher. Also, I will take $200 to win on #7 Hannah’s Moment at 3/1 or higher.

Note: This race closes the Santa Anita winter meet. Hollywood Park opens Wednesday.

  

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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 6 — 3:05 pm post time

April 19, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies

Possible overlays                         Morning line

#2 Touch Me Babe                            10/1
#5 To Hot for You                             5/2
#10 Humane                                     8/1

Coming off of an eight-month layoff, #5 To Hot for You is dropping in class and is saddled by Mike Mitchell, who wins at 36 percent with maiden claimers.

Too Hot for You ran competitively when facing maiden special weight company at Del Mar in August and is making only her third lifetime start. This stable’s live horses are bet down, so I will like this filly more if her post time odds are low.

Breaking on the far outside, #10 Humane overcame a huge amount of trouble in her Feb. 5 debut to lead by two lengths in the stretch, but she could not hold on. On that day, she broke seven lengths behind the field then accelerated four-wide on the turn to the lead. It was an impressive move that race caller Trevor Denman recognized when describing the action.

I estimate that she lost 10 lengths so I adjusted the 59 Beyer Speed Figure she earned that day to an 87. But today she is breaking from a wide post again at 5-1/2 furlongs, so she’s likely to be a bit wide again.

Humane’s trainer Derek Meredith is also doing something else worth noting. He named low-profile jockey Agapito Delgadillo to ride, so his name is printed in the Daily Racing Form. However, he switched to Michael Baze and that’s who will be on board.

Could Meredith have named Delgadillo while fully intending to make the late switch in an attempt to pump up the wagering odds? Would a horse trainer participate in such chicanery? It’s quite possible, because Delgadillo is still scheduled to ride #3 Likely a Star in the fourth, so the jockey obviously did not get sick.

Finally, Gerson Racing owns #2 Touch Me Babe and their first-time starters win more than their share of races.

At the betting window, I will put $400 on #5 To Hot for You at 7/5 to 5/2, but just $150 at 3/1 or more. Also, I want $250 to win on #10 Humane at 5/2 to 9/1, but only $150 at 10/1 or more. And finally, $100 on #2 Touch Me Babe at 10/1 to 19/1.

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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 3 — 1:31 pm post time

April 19, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3 yo fillies

Possible overlays                      Morning line

#3 Tripped Fuse                         5/2
#7 Martini Mixer                          8/1
#9 Misstrailcityzone                    12/1
#10 Greek Advantage                  15/1

Two experienced horses figure to get all of the betting action. Both #3 Tripped Fuse and #6 Michelle Marie certainly have the ability to win this race, but neither will probably be more than 3-to-1.

One intriguing filly is first-time starter #7 Martini Mixer. Trained by Brian Koriner, Martini Mixer is showing several good workouts and she fits the profile of a winning debut horse. Also, of the last 123 horses jockey Joe Talamo rode for Koriner, 28 of them won with the average payoff being $11.

That means if you bet them all, you would have made $1.25 for every $1 bet.

The best early speed in this race might belong to #9 Misstrailcityzone, who led until midstretch on April 4 at 108-to-1. As long as this filly stays healthy and runs in races at 6 furlongs or less, she’ll break her maiden somewhere. But she may need a different circuit and softer competition.

However, she’s also improving and when Misstrailcityzone quit badly last time it was at 6-1/2 furlongs where speed isn’t as important. Who knows, she just may keep on going today and pay $25.

Finally, #10 Greek Advantage is debuting for trainer Thomas Bell II and she’d also be a good bet if the price is right.

I will bet $400 to win on #7 Martini Mixer at 5/2 to 14/1, but just $100 if she’s 15/1 to 19/1.  Also, I’ll take $100 to win on #9 Misstrailcityzone at 5/1 to 19/1, and reduce the wager to $25 at odds at 20/1 or more.

Finally, I’ll put $200 to win on #10 Greek Advantage at 10/1 to 19/1.

Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. 1 Comment »

Final Derby prep — Advice at Keeneland

April 19, 2009 — maidenking

Posted in Uncategorized. Leave a Comment »
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