Maiden claiming $40,000, 4-1/2 furlongs, 2-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Swiss Record 2/1
#2 Gate to Wire 5/2
In these 4-1/2 furlong races the turn comes up real quickly so the inside four post positions have a tremendous advantage over the others.
In fact, over the last two years only one out of 50 first time starters won breaking from a post position outside of gate 4. And that horse was even money.
So, although I would love to play #6 Suitcase Simpson or #7 Seeuat Sticknstein, I won’t do it because their post positions nullify their great connections. The only horses that I will consider are #1 Swiss Record and #2 Gate to Wire.
Swiss Record has several quick workouts and is breaking from stall #1. Sire Swiss Yodler is known for dropping precocious horses and jockey Joel Rosario can get the job done. Just outside of him, #2 Gate to Wire got body checked hard at the start of his April 2 debut then ran on well. Now trainer Caesar Dominguez switches from no-name rider Pedro Arambula to Rafael Bejarano, who led the Santa Anita jockey standings and won five races at Hollywood Park on Saturday.
I will bet $200 to win on #1 Swiss Record at 3/2 to 4/1, but if his odds are not in that range I will instead put the $200 on #2 Gate to Wire at odds of 2/1 or more.