The swirl of conflicting emotions about the return of sports, and whether it will last, seems apt for these turbulent times of pandemic and social unrest.
Workers who have been ordered back to the league’s headquarters are resisting, arguing that the reopening was rushed and that in some ways they have been put in an “impossible situation.”
I will start today's Gulfstream Selections thread - Rich, please jump right in! My aim is to get more examples to help confirm my understanding of how to create a ranking from the 4 Factor method. No attempt at ABC categorization/tiering. As if: I was making a new factor (e.g. 'Rx-4F'). Rich,...
Over the last few years, a good bet when looking for first-time starters in maiden special weight races for 2-year-olds and 3-year-olds has been to find top trainers running early foals with good workouts that are going off at decent prices.
In this race, four trainers are winning more than 20 percent of their races for the year: Bob Baffert, Carla Gaines, Jerry Hollendorfer and John Sadler. Their fillies scheduled to go to post in this race all have good workouts and were born in January, February and March.
The morning line maker has them all priced somewhere between 5/2 and 4/1. Of course, all I care about are the odds at post time and I will take whatever horses the public gives me.
I will bet $500 to win on the two highest-odds horses that are between 7/2 and 9/1 among #1 Blaze Along, #5 Lofty Ambition, #6 Dearly Concerned and #7 Candid Ride.
Maiden Claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 3 yo’s and up
Possible overlaysMorning line
#2 Born to Waltz 15/1
#6 Royal Import 3/1
#8 Aeromon 5/2
This race is mainly between two horses: #6 Royal Import and #8 Aeromon.
Trained by Robert Hess, Royal Import is making his tenth career start and first on anything other than grass. Eight of Royal Import’s last 10 races were routes, but that shouldn’t put him at a disadvantage at this 7-furlong distance. This gelding has shown a good late kick, which will be needed to catch Aeromon.
Aeromon has the best demonstrated speed in this field. The question will be whether leading jockey Joel Rosario can slow down Aeromon enough during the second quarter mile so this gelding will have the energy to hold off Royal Import in the lane.
At 7 furlongs, speed isn’t as great an asset as it is in short sprints. That is why I would be reluctant to bet Aeromon if Royal Import is a longer price.
The only other horse I’m looking at in this race is #2 Born to Waltz, who is running in his second race back from a long layoff. The past performances on this Jerry Fanning-trainee are on the dismal side which should help the odds. In his first race, Born to Waltz was pulled up and walked off. In his second start, he broke dead last in an eleven-horse field and stayed there until closing good ground in the stretch to finish seventh. Horses of this type have shown to be profitable win-place bets at 10/1 to 19/1.
Therefore, at 5/2 and up, I will bet $700 on #6 Royal Import. But if Royal Import is 2/1 or below at post time, then I will wager $300 on #8 Aeromon at 3/1 or higher.
Also, at 10/1 to 19/1, I will put $50 on #2 Born to Waltz.
I can see Aeromon getting away loose on the lead with Royal Import closing to be second. So, I will bet a straight $20 trifecta 8 with 6 with 2, a $5 trifecta 8 with 2 with 6, and $5 trifectas 8 with 6 with all horses 10/1 to 30/1.
The above exotic bets are contingent on either Aeromon being 3/1 or more, or Royal Import being 5/2 or higher.
Five fields of fillies provided Northfield Park harness racing fans with sizzling miles, including a new track and world record clocking of 1:51 4/5 by Summer Touch, the 1-5 favorite in the first of two $50,000 Ohio Sires Stakes for 2-year-old pacing fillies on a lovely August 7 evening.
Preparations are underway for the 27th edition of the $225,000 (est.) Dan Patch Stakes at Harrah's Hoosier Park Racing & Casino. With the feature race set to go off Friday, August 14, a live virtual post draw will be held Tuesday, August 11 at 6:00 P.M. on various Harrah's Hoosier Park social media outlets. Adhering to CDC guidelines, the draw […]
Trainer Steve Asmussen couldn't recall a prize to match his gifts for winning the 115th running of the $150,000 Saratoga Special Presented by Miller Lite (G2) with J. Kirk Robison's Jackie Warrior.
Spielberg, a $1 million yearling who is slated to contest a six-furlong maiden special weight Aug. 8 at Del Mar will face Superman Shaq, a half brother to champion Monomoy Girl, and Waspirant, whose dam was a grade 1 winner.
Purses at Arlington International Racecourse will be raised 20% during the middle portion of its summer meet, according to levels listed in its recently released second condition book. That period covers racing there from Aug. 20-Sept. 12.
SANTA ANITA AUTUMN STAKES SCHEDULE TO INCLUDE 24 STAKES BEGINNING SEPT. 19 THROUGH OCT. 25 WITH 15 GRADED OFFERINGS INCLUDED THROUGH 18-DAY RACE MEETING GRADE III, $100,000 CHILLINGWORTH STAKES TO HIGHLIGHT OPENING DAY CARD ON SEPT. 19 ARCADIA, Calif. (Aug. 7, 2020)–Santa Anita’s 2020 Autumn Meeting will kick into high gear on opening day, Saturday, […] The […]
SANTA ANITA TO HONOR OAK TREE EXECUTIVE SHERWOOD CHILLINGWORTH WITH STAKES RACE DURING AUTUMN MEET The memory of Sherwood Chillingworth, the longtime director and executive vice president of the Oak Tree Racing Association, will be honored with The Chillingworth Stakes to be run during Santa Anita’s Autumn season. Known throughout the racing industry as “Ch […]
Improbable moved to the top of the older male division with his two-length victory in Saturday's $750,000 Whitney S. (G1) at Saratoga, his second Grade 1 win in a row...
SANTA ANITA AUTUMN STAKES SCHEDULE TO INCLUDE 24 STAKES BEGINNING SEPT. 19 THROUGH OCT. 25 WITH 15 GRADED OFFERINGS INCLUDED THROUGH 18-DAY RACE MEETING GRADE III, $100,000 CHILLINGWORTH STAKES TO HIGHLIGHT OPENING DAY CARD ON SEPT. 19 ARCADIA, Calif. (Aug. 7, 2020)–Santa Anita’s 2020 Autumn Meeting will kick into high gear on opening day, Saturday, […] The […]
SANTA ANITA TO HONOR OAK TREE EXECUTIVE SHERWOOD CHILLINGWORTH WITH STAKES RACE DURING AUTUMN MEET The memory of Sherwood Chillingworth, the longtime director and executive vice president of the Oak Tree Racing Association, will be honored with The Chillingworth Stakes to be run during Santa Anita’s Autumn season. Known throughout the racing industry as “Ch […]
