Results, Santa Anita Friday Race 1 — lost $150

February 21, 2009 — maidenking
Jockey Garrett Gomez went wire-to-wire on #9 Belongs to Gotham

Jockey Garrett Gomez wins again, but pays just $4.40

The betting public seemed to be only interested in two horses. They made both #6 One Vote and #9 Belongs to Gotham 6-to-5, while the only other horse less than 10-to-1 was #4 De Brief Me.

Belongs to Gotham sped to a quick lead and dueled with 96-to-1 shot #7 Rockin the City on the backstretch. The difference was that jockey Joy Scott was hustling Rockin the City, but Belongs to Gotham was running  without being asked. By the time they hit the top of the stretch, Rockin the City had enough, but One Vote was making a move on the leader.

It looked like a dramatic two-horse duel was materializing, but Gomez can really shake a horse up in the stretch and he was all over this one. Belongs to Gotham pulled away to win, minus any drama.

I planned to wager on One Vote, but not at less than 2/1 and another one I liked — #8 Jimmy Two Times — was scratched was scratched. Two others were out of my odds zone, so the only bet I made was $150 to win on #3 Panda at 15/1.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Today’s Gold (CA) Espinoza V Hess, Jr. R 12.20 6
3 2 Panda (CA) Blanc B Van Berg J 15.90 4
4 3 De Brief Me (CA) Talamo J O’Neill D 5.10 3
5 4 You’re No Good (CA) Russell C Shidaker D 90.30 7
6 5 One Vote (CA) Bejarano R Bell, II T 1.30 2
7 6 Rockin the City (CA) Scott J Byrd A 96.30 5
9 7 Belongs to Gotham (CA) Gomez G Kitchingman A 1.20 1
SCR – Wickdanwakyshapiro (CA) Williams D Davis, III J – –
SCR – Jimmy Two Times (CA) Smith M Spawr W – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
9 $4.40 $2.60 $2.10
6 – $2.20 $2.10
4 – – $2.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $3.70 (9-6)
$1.00 Superfecta paid $29.60 (9-6-4-3)
$1.00 Trifecta paid $10.90 (9-6-4)
Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . Leave a Comment »

Friday, Santa Anita Race 1 — 1 pm post time

February 20, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $40,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-olds

Possible overlays                              Morning line

# 3 Panda                                               15/1
#4 De Brief Me                                         8/1
#6 One Vote                                            9/5
#8 Jimmy Two Times                            5/1

The median Beyer Speed Figure for this type of race is 71 and two runners in here have recently earned a 70: #6 One Vote and #9 Belongs to Gotham.

I give One Vote the edge out of these two because this gelding appears to have better speed, but it’s probably a moot point because both will likely  be bet below 2-to-1.

That leads us to first timer #8 Jimmy Two Times who has a few good workouts on display. I especially like the 59-1/5 second 5 furlongs he worked on Dec. 20, which was the sixth fastest of 104 horses who exercised at that distance.

The connections are also a positive for Jimmy Two Times, as both jockey Mike Smith and trainer Bill Spawr win at decent 16 percent rate. However, the last 24 times Smith rode for Spawr the percentage spiked to 29 percent, as they won seven races together.

Other first times who may be worth a wager if the price is right are #3 Panda, #4 De Brief Me and #5 You’re No Good.

I will bet $300 on #6 One Vote at 2/1 and up and $250 on #8 Jimmy Two Times at 7/2 to 19/1.

Also, I want $150 to win on any of these horses that fall between the odds of 10/1 to 19/1: #3 Panda, #4 De Brief Me and #5 You’re No Good.

Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . 1 Comment »
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