Results, Santa Anita Sunday Race 9 — lost $300

March 23, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Bill Spawr won for the eighth time in 28 starts when using jockey Mike Smith

Trainer Bill Spawr won for the eighth time in 28 starts when using jockey Mike Smith

Trainer Bill Spawr dropped #6 Jimmy Two Times slightly in class, kept jockey Mike Smith aboard, and the colt responded by stalking the pace and pulling away in the stretch. 

Spawr, who also owns a part of Jimmy Two Times, has a winning percentage of 19 so far this year, but when Smith rides for him Spawr’s a 28 percent trainer.

Jimmy Two Times, 5-to-2, was making his second lifetime start. In his debut back on March 6, he established a clear lead in a $40,000 maiden claiming race before quitting badly in the stretch.  On Sunday, Jimmy Two Times ran behind pace setter #4 Barney Bass for the first half mile then put him away in the stretch.

At 7-to-2, I bet $200 on #4 Barney Bass and another $100 on first-time starter #8 Self Defense.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Astoria Renter (CA) Delgadillo A Dunham D 3.70 6
2 2 Such a Shame (CA) Garcia M Freeman E 24.00 2
3 3 Rio Romeo (CA) Bejarano R Dominguez C 5.20 4
4 4 Barney Bass (KY) Rosario J Vienna D 3.70 3
5 5 Hesitate (KY) Talamo J Greely C 7.10 12
6 6 Jimmy Two Times (CA) Smith M Spawr W 2.80 1
7 7 King Farha (CA) Rios J Metz J 60.60 5
8 8 Self Defense (CA) Baze T Lewis C 17.80 8
11 9 Talkthatalkpeter G (CA) Cedeno O Sticka R 25.40 9
12 10 Motto’s Brat (CA) Potts C Wicker L 40.80 11
13 11 Rockin the City (CA) Quinonez A Byrd A 28.80 7
14 12 Kayakityak (CA) Arambula P Periban J 71.80 10
SCR – Strong Belief (KY)     – –
SCR – Indian Love (KY)     – –
Pgm Win Place Show
6 $7.60 $4.80 $3.20
2 – $19.60 $11.00
4 – – $4.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $60.40 (6-2)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $272.00 (9-7-6)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid
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Saturday, Santa Anita Race 6 — 3:05 pm post time

March 21, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 7 furlongs, 3-year-olds

Possible overlays                       Morning line

#4 Pauper’s Pride                              5/2
#8 Caspian                                      5/1
#10 Ricoriatoa                                 12/1
#11 Indy Ride                                  12/1

Although their best Beyer Speed Figures are a shade under the 83 median for the level, #4 Pauper’s Pride and #8 Caspian have the type of running style that wins at 7 furlongs.

Trained by Vladimir Cerin, Pauper’s Pride chased Gotmymojoworkin to the wire on Jan 3 while blowing by a weakening Wall Street Wonder in the stretch. Wall Street Wonder returned next time out to win a maiden special weight race easily and has been competiting in stakes since.

Caspian is running in his second start. During his Feb 28 debut, Caspian lagged at the back of the six-horse field then rallied. Unless one of the three first timers show speed, #10 Ricoriatoa should get the lead. He chased quick fractions while wide on Oct. 17 at Keeneland and has been working out well.

Finally, #11 Indy Ride, a first-time starter for trainer Bill Spawr, may be a good bet at the right price.

I will bet $300 on the longer of the two prices between #4 Pauper’s Pride and #8 Caspian and $200 on the shorter price. If either of them are less than 3/1 then I won’t bet that one.  Also, I will take $150 on #11 Indy Ride at 10/1 to 19/1 only, but if Indy Ride doesn’t fall into the odds zone then I want $100 on #10 Ricoriatoa at 14/1 or less.

Posted in msw, 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , . 1 Comment »

Friday, Santa Anita Race 1 — 1 pm post time

February 20, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $40,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-olds

Possible overlays                              Morning line

# 3 Panda                                               15/1
#4 De Brief Me                                         8/1
#6 One Vote                                            9/5
#8 Jimmy Two Times                            5/1

The median Beyer Speed Figure for this type of race is 71 and two runners in here have recently earned a 70: #6 One Vote and #9 Belongs to Gotham.

I give One Vote the edge out of these two because this gelding appears to have better speed, but it’s probably a moot point because both will likely  be bet below 2-to-1.

That leads us to first timer #8 Jimmy Two Times who has a few good workouts on display. I especially like the 59-1/5 second 5 furlongs he worked on Dec. 20, which was the sixth fastest of 104 horses who exercised at that distance.

The connections are also a positive for Jimmy Two Times, as both jockey Mike Smith and trainer Bill Spawr win at decent 16 percent rate. However, the last 24 times Smith rode for Spawr the percentage spiked to 29 percent, as they won seven races together.

Other first times who may be worth a wager if the price is right are #3 Panda, #4 De Brief Me and #5 You’re No Good.

I will bet $300 on #6 One Vote at 2/1 and up and $250 on #8 Jimmy Two Times at 7/2 to 19/1.

Also, I want $150 to win on any of these horses that fall between the odds of 10/1 to 19/1: #3 Panda, #4 De Brief Me and #5 You’re No Good.

Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , . 1 Comment »
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