Cal Cup Juvenile, 7 furlongs, $100,000 purse
Possible overlays Morning line
#3 Really Uptown 5/1
#5 Wolf Tail 5/1
It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see the Cal Cup Juvenile Filles race be run in a faster time than this one.
The top maiden special weight races for 2-year-old colts at 6-1/2 to 7 furlongs are won with Beyer Speed Figures in the low-to-mid 90’s, but the highest figure in this bunch is a lowly 76.
These colts appear to be rather ordinary, however #5 Wolf Tail looks like he has the right running style for the distance. Wolf Tail showed his hand on July 29 when he rallied from 4-1/2 lengths off the pace to nail Grace Upon Grace by a nose in the Graduation Stakes at 5-1/2 furlongs.
Wolf Tail shares the highest overall Beyer with #1 Warren’s Doc Gus, who is running in his second lifetime race.
One colt who might be a sleeper is #3 Really Uptown, who is coming off of a 4-month layoff. In the Spring, Really Uptown ran three Beyer Speed Figures in the 70s, so his natural growth may allow him to run in the 80’s today.
At 3/1 or higher, I will put $200 to win on both #3 Really Uptown and #5 Wolf Tail.