Friday, Santa Anita Race 8 — 4:37 p.m. post time

January 2, 2009 — maidenking

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 4-year-olds & up

Possible overlays                                Morning line

#3 Mort Robbins                                         6/1
#11 Stray Cat                                           7/2
#12 The Emerald King                               5 /1
#13 Sailboat Sam                                       8/1
#14 All About Larry                                   6/1

Lots of horses have been laid off recently in this race. Many of them have had sharp workouts, however, like that of #3 Mort Robbins on Dec. 27. The Barry Abrams-trained 4-year-old worked out five furlongs in 59 seconds, which was the third best of 128 at the distance. 

The top speed of the race is #13 Sailboat Sam, but I’m going to have to follow the money in here.

Therefore, I’ll bet $400 on any of the following horses that go off at 2/1 to 7/2: #3 Mort Robbins, #12 Emerald King, #13 Sailboat Sam or #14 All About Larry.  If none fall into that range, then I’ll bet $150 on #11 Stray Cat at 7/2 or higher. Regardless of whether the first two betting scenerios play out, I’ll put $100 on #13 Sailboat Sam at 7/2 or greater.

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Friday, Santa Anita Race 3 — 2:03 p.m. post time

January 2, 2009 — maidenking

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies

Possible overlays                                           Morning line

#4 Sky Marni                                                       8/1
#7 Holychoir                                                       7/2
#8 Not So Plain Jane                                           8/1

In this 11-horse field, seven first-timers are going as well as four fillies running for the second time that were all trounced by more than 10 lengths in their first races.

The best-looking debut horse is #7 Holychoir who has been working out well and is the daughter of Swiss Yodeler. Another bettable first-timer is #4 Sky Marni, while second-time starter #8 Not So Plain Jane is trained by Paul Aguirre, who won with six of his last 16 horses running  for the second time.

Many capable trainers are in this race, so it would not surprise me to see Ron Ellis, Darrell Vienna or Craig Lewis getting their photo snapped in the winner’s circle at about 2:10 p.m PST. But I can’t bet their horses in this spot, so if they beat me, I will just move on to race eight. 

At the betting window, I will put $250 on #7 Holychoir at 7/2 to 19/1, $150 on #4 Sky Marni at 10/1 to 19/1 and $100 on #8 Not So Plain Jane from 3/1 to 8/1.

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Results, Santa Anita Thursday Race 10 — lost $400

January 2, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Jeff Mullins won with second-timer Jaylo's Mark at 11/1.

Trainer Jeff Mullins won with hidden entry at 10/1

When a competent So. Cal trainer enters two horses in a maiden race, it usually pays to take a close look at both. And I wouldn’t argue with anybody who thought that a profitable long-term angle was to blindly bet them both, as long as they were paying decent odds. 

Trainer Jeff Mullins ran two fillies in Thursday’s tenth, with #11 Jaylo’s Mark getting the money in her second lifetime start at 10/1, while first-timer #9 Katie G finished seventh at 11/1.

Jockey Chantal Sutherland, who rode a recent winning first-time starter for Mullins, took Jaylo’s Mark immediately to the front then, with rivals closing in on her, pulled away by finding another gear in the stretch. 

Jaylo’s Mark had the curious morning line of 20/1. She had run a 51 Beyer Speed Figure in her only race while second-timer #3 Captivating Lyrics, trained by Thomas Bell II, ran a 54 in her debut, but was listed at 6/1. Furthermore, Mullins runs more horses than Bell II and wins at a higher percentage than him.

I bet $200 on Katie G., which was Mullins’ other horse, and $200 on #12 Ocean Style, who loomed at the top of the stretch, but had no late kick.  

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Ultra Cat (CA) Espinoza V Mandella R 2.30 2
2 2 Flash Dance (CA) Talamo J Becerra R 6.80 3
3 3 Captivating Lyrics (KY) Court J Bell, II T 7.60 6
4 4 Mac One (CA) Valdivia, Jr. J Harris A 72.20 12
5 5 Count’n Tears (CA) Solis A Saavedra A 26.40 9
6 6 Dona Mary (CA) Potts C Gonzalez S 28.00 4
7 7 Bonita Birdie (CA) Rosario J Mendoza J 34.60 10
8 8 Sand Bridled (CA) Nakatani C Stein R 67.10 5
9 9 Katie G. (CA) Garcia M Mullins J 11.80 7
10 10 Warren’s Lisa (CA) Pedroza M Gutierrez J 6.00 13
11 11 Jaylo’s Mark (CA) Sutherland C Mullins J 10.30 1
12 12 Ocean Style (CA) Flores D Cassidy J 4.10 8
13 13 Stormy Runaway (CA) Stra K Zucker H 78.80 11

Pgm Win Place Show
11 $22.60 $9.40 $7.00
1 – $4.00 $3.00
2 – – $4.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $49.40 (11-1)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $2637.50 (1-3-11)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid $6039.00 (4/9-1-3-11)

Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , . 1 Comment »
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