Sunday, Santa Anita Race 9 — 4:38 p.m. post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $32,000, 6-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies

Possible overlays                              Morning line

#5 Tan Tan                                               20/1
#12 Waddup G                                           5/2
#13 Shawnie Ora                                       12/1

I probably won’t end up playing anything in here.

I got a late start handicapping this one and I am looking at the tote board now. With 15 minutes to post, the favorite #12 Waddup G is 8/5. I like her because she ran a 63 Beyer Speed Figure in a route race, which is just below the median needed to win this race. But I wouldn’t bet her unless she’s at least 2/1.

Second-time starter #13 Shawnie Ora is 7-to-1 on the tote board now, but I’m only interested at 2/1 to 9/2. Also, #5 Tan Tan is an OK bet at 10/1 to 19/1, but she’s 21-to-1.

I’m noticing surprise betting action on #3 It’s Partytime, who is 10-to-1 on the morning line, but the tote board says 7-to-2. She has good early speed, which is much more valuable in shorter sprints than 6-1/2 furlongs.

I will bet $150 on #12 Waddup G at 2/1 or higher, $150 on #13 Shawnie Ora at 2/1 to 9/2, and $100 on #5 Tan Tan at 10/1 to 19/1.

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Sunday, Santa Anita Race 6 — 3:05 p.m. post time

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies

Possible overlays                                   Morning line

#1 Storm the Church                               12/1
#2 White Lamb                                       9/2
#4 Guided Wave                                       8/1
#6 No Saint But Sweet                              5/2
#7 Black Magic Mama                                7/2
#8 Ride Me Fast                                       5/1

I wouldn’t be surprised to see any filly but #3 Shadow Queen win this race. So, I’ll use the tote board as a guide, make some good bets at decent odds, and everything should work out in the long run.

Coming off a six-month layoff, #2 White Lamb should be near the front of the pack at the quarter pole. On July 5 at Arlington Park, White Lamb was bet to 6-to-5 in a 10 horse field and she flashed early speed before fading, however jockey Rene Douglas merely breezed her from the eighth pole to the wire.

The median Beyer Speed Figure to win this race is an 80, and trainer Jeff Mullins runner #6 No Saint But Sweet earned a 79 Beyer in her Dec. 7 debut. She broke slowly and came running late that day. Mullins also sends out first-timer #1 Storm the Church, who will have no-name jockey Pedro Arambula aboard, and she has several good workouts that make her a good bet at the right price.

On New Year’s Day, Mullins won with a hidden entry horse named Jaylo’s Mark at 10-to-1. She was running for the second time while Mullins’ first-time starter Katie G. finished seventh at 11-to-1.

Also debuting in this race is #8 Ride Me Fast. Although owner Mike Pegram hasn’t historically done well with this type, if Ride Me Fast gets some betting action then she’ll fit the profile of winning Bob Baffert first timers.

Finally, #4 Guided Wave broke slowly in her first race before making a decent run and she could wake up. And trainer Doug O’Neill must think highly of #7 Black Magic Mama because she ran in both the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies and the Hollywood Starlet. Today, she cuts back to a sprint, but I’d like her more if they were going 6-1/2 or 7 furlongs.

I will bet $200 on #8 Ride Me Fast from 7/2 to 9/1, but just $100 if her post time odds drift up to between 10/1 and 19/1. I want $150 on #1 Storm the Church at 7/2 to 19/1 and $150 on #2 White Lamb if her post time odds are 2/1 to 6/1. 

If White Lamb’s odds fall out of the betting zone — either too high or too low — then I’ll  put $150 on #6 No Saint But Sweet at 2/1 or higher. 

Note: I also plan to bet the ninth race today, which goes off at 4:38 p.m., but won’t be able to post it until 3:30.

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 5 — lost $450

Jockey Michael Baze gunned #13 Outlaw Yodler from the gate and never looked back

Jockey Michael Baze gunned #13 Outlaw Yodler from the gate and never looked back

The betting was frosty on #9 Thornmark, who was 2-to-1 on the morning line but opened up at 9-to-2. The five-year-old gelding, who was running for the second time after an 11-month layoff , finally closed at 5-to-2.

But when the gates open, Thornmark never made an impact as #13 Outlaw Yodler shot straight for the lead and dominated the race. Jockey Joe Talamo got #11 Hold This up for second at 7-to-1, while #10 Go Cory Go was off the board after being well backed at 3/1.

Outlaw Yodler had showed decent speed in his five previous tries, but always faded in the stretch. Today, trainer Peter Eurton removed the blinkers, which may have helped the 4-year-old relax.

In the end, I bet $300 on Thornmark and another $150 on Hold This.

To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Ole’s Quest (CA) Espinoza V Moreno H 27.90 8
2 2 Incandescenza (KY) Baze T Knapp S 13.50 5
3 3 All About Larry (CA) Gryder A Lewis C 6.30 6
4 4 Senor Afortunado (CA) Rosario J Periban J 13.60 3
6 5 That Tiger (CA) Quinonez A Schiewe P 51.50 9
7 6 Road to the Throne (KY) Couton J Johnson E 99.20 11
9 7 Thornmark (CA) Pedroza M Bernstein D 2.60 4
10 8 Go Cory Go (CA) Solis A Hendricks D 3.20 7
11 9 Hold This (KY) Talamo J Jones M 7.50 2
12 10 Theforcebwithdixie (CA) Potts C Knapp S 132.50 10
13 11 Outlaw Yodeler (CA) Baze M Eurton P 3.60 1
SCR Olympic Force (CA) Vergara O Wilmot W
SCR Sailable (CA)    
SCR Sur Brio (CA)    

Pgm Win Place Show
13 $9.20 $5.20 $4.00
11 $8.40 $5.60
4 $6.60
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Consolation Pick 3 paid $29.90 (3-4-5)
$1.00 Exacta paid $32.10 (13-11)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $186.60 (3-4-13)

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