Maiden claiming $32,000, 6-1/2 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#5 Tan Tan 20/1
#12 Waddup G 5/2
#13 Shawnie Ora 12/1
I probably won’t end up playing anything in here.
I got a late start handicapping this one and I am looking at the tote board now. With 15 minutes to post, the favorite #12 Waddup G is 8/5. I like her because she ran a 63 Beyer Speed Figure in a route race, which is just below the median needed to win this race. But I wouldn’t bet her unless she’s at least 2/1.
Second-time starter #13 Shawnie Ora is 7-to-1 on the tote board now, but I’m only interested at 2/1 to 9/2. Also, #5 Tan Tan is an OK bet at 10/1 to 19/1, but she’s 21-to-1.
I’m noticing surprise betting action on #3 It’s Partytime, who is 10-to-1 on the morning line, but the tote board says 7-to-2. She has good early speed, which is much more valuable in shorter sprints than 6-1/2 furlongs.
I will bet $150 on #12 Waddup G at 2/1 or higher, $150 on #13 Shawnie Ora at 2/1 to 9/2, and $100 on #5 Tan Tan at 10/1 to 19/1.
January 12, 2009 at 4:15 AM
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