Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 5 — won $1,080

January 24, 2009 — maidenking

see-full-size-image1In this 10-horse field, five of the colts were between 5-to-2 and 6-to-1, which says to me that the public really couldn’t tell who the best horse was.

But soon after the race began, it became increasingly clear that #4 Wall Street Wonder towered over this field and may very well be a stakes horse. The Bob Baffert-trained second-time starter immediately shot to a clear lead, then really poured it on in the stretch to win by 5-1/4 lengths.

I bet $400 on Wall Street Wonder, and was eyeballing first-timers #2 Vanquest and #6 Bridging, but neither fell into the 10/1 to 19/1 odds range that I was looking for.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Warring Heart (KY) Valdivia, Jr. J Canani J 22.00 8
2 2 Vanquest (NY) Baze T Sadler J 28.60 6
3 3 Pleasure to Ride (KY) Coa E Hollendorfer J 13.90 7
4 4 Wall Street Wonder (FL) Rosario J Baffert B 2.70 1
5 5 Tevez the Tiger (KY) Bejarano R Harty E 3.40 4
6 6 Bridging (KY) Nakatani C Puype M 4.50 5
7 7 Degree of Power (KY) Gomez G Frankel R 6.40 2
8 8 Steel Blue (KY) Rios J Frankel R 23.00 9
9 9 Mythical Power (KY) Espinoza V Baffert B 6.10 3
10 10 Crack Thepat (KY) Talamo J Biancone P 19.00 10
 
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $7.40 $4.20 $3.00
7 – $7.20 $4.40
9 – – $4.00
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $24.80 (4-7)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $72.70 (7-5-4)
$1.00 Superfecta
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Results, Saturday Santa Anita Race 3 — lost $400

January 24, 2009 — maidenking
Jockey Joel Rosario won his second of four races Saturday aboard #7 No Guessing

Jockey Joel Rosario won his second of four races Saturday aboard #7 No Guessing

 The money kept pouring in on #14 Classic Demand, and there was only one reason why.

The morning line maker installed this 5-year-old maiden at 12-to-1 and who could blame him. Classic Demand had only raced one time, which was in March 2008, and she didn’t run badly that day, but her 60 Beyer Speed Figure didn’t impress anybody either.

 Furthermore, her workouts leading up to this race were at regular intervals, but they were slow, slow, slow.

There was only reason anybody would put their hard-earned money on a horse like this: Peter Eurton.

Eurton, who has won with six of his last 13 starters or 46 percent, is turning whatever he touches into gold these days.

At post time, when the bell rang and the gates sprang open, Classic Demand was bet to 5-to-1 and she almost pulled off the upset. But she  couldn’t stay with #7 No Guessing in the stretch. Classic Demand, however, did finished second, 1-3/4 lengths ahead of third-place finisher, Connie the Queen.

I ended up betting $150 on both #9 Sally Says So and #14 Classic Demand, and another $100 on #12 Happyinexcess. I was closely watching the odds on #7 No Guessing, but I needed 4-to-1 and she ended up at 7-to-2.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
3 1 Ms Honkytonk Woman (CA) Russell C Shidaker D 112.20 10
4 2 Connie the Queen (KY) Quinonez A Matties G 19.70 3
5 3 Queen Missy (CA) Delgadillo A Garcia V 52.20 7
6 4 Holladay Dixie (PA) Baze T Gaines C 1.80 5
7 5 No Guessing (KY) Rosario J Walsh K 3.50 1
9 6 Sally Says So (CA) Valdivia, Jr. J Lewis C 9.40 6
10 7 Ata Honour (KY) Olguin G Burnison E 16.30 9
11 8 Stylin Deputy (KY) Flores D Cassidy J 6.20 4
12 9 Happyinexcess (CA) Sorenson D Semkin S 12.00 11
13 10 Lil Troublemaker (CA) Scott J Soto A 78.10 8
14 11 Classic Demand (CA) Baze M Eurton P 5.20 2
SCR – Black Point (KY)     – –
SCR – Silent Smoke (CA)     – –
SCR – Snooty Gal (KY)     – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
7 $9.00 $5.20 $4.00
14 – $6.40 $5.00
4 – – $8.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $30.20 (7-14)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $240.00 (5-7-7)
$
Posted in maiden claiming 3^, 4^, Uncategorized. Tags: , . 2 Comments »

Results, Santa Anita Saturday Race 1 — won $980

January 24, 2009 — maidenking

financial_money_rollYep. It seems to me that #7 Deep Pockets is better suited for 6 furlongs or shorter. The 4-to-5 shot trained by Bob Baffert chased pace setter #3 Drake Lake down the backstretch and put him away at the top of the lane.

Jockey Corey Nakatani was trying to ration Deep Pockets’ brilliant speed, but this horse  was in deep water during the last sixteenth of a mile, as #5 Buck’s Bro and a host of other went by him.

On the bright side, Deep Pockets’ fifth-place finish will probably allow him to go off at 2-to-1 or better next time he races. And if he shortens up, then I’ll probably bet him.

But this race was all about jockey Joel Rosario and #5 Buck’s Bro. Rosario, who won four races Saturday, placed Buck’s Bro in the middle of the seven-horse field and made a 3-wide move on the turn. Deep Pockets had the lead for about five jumps before Buck’s Bro came knocking. Rosario bumped a bit with Deep Pockets in midstretch, then pulled away to win by 1-1/4 lengths.

I bet $300 on the winner at 7-to-2, but also had $100 to win on the second-place finisher #6 Spirit of Cochise, who was 6-to-1.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com.

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
3 1 Ms Honkytonk Woman (CA) Russell C Shidaker D 112.20 10
4 2 Connie the Queen (KY) Quinonez A Matties G 19.70 3
5 3 Queen Missy (CA) Delgadillo A Garcia V 52.20 7
6 4 Holladay Dixie (PA) Baze T Gaines C 1.80 5
7 5 No Guessing (KY) Rosario J Walsh K 3.50 1
9 6 Sally Says So (CA) Valdivia, Jr. J Lewis C 9.40 6
10 7 Ata Honour (KY) Olguin G Burnison E 16.30 9
11 8 Stylin Deputy (KY) Flores D Cassidy J 6.20 4
12 9 Happyinexcess (CA) Sorenson D Semkin S 12.00 11
13 10 Lil Troublemaker (CA) Scott J Soto A 78.10 8
14 11 Classic Demand (CA) Baze M Eurton P 5.20 2
SCR – Black Point (KY)     – –
SCR – Silent Smoke (CA)     – –
SCR – Snooty Gal (KY)     – –
 
Pgm Win Place Show
7 $9.00 $5.20 $4.00
14 – $6.40 $5.00
4 – – $8.80
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $30.20 (7-14)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $240.00 (5-7-7)
$1.00 Superfecta
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Saturday, Santa Anita Race 5 — 1:45 p.m. post time

January 24, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs, 3 year olds

Possible overlays               Morning line

#2 Vanquest                           15/1
#4 Wall Street Wonder            9/2
#6 Bridging                              7/2

Bob Baffert trains two horses in here, but I like the second timer #4 Wall Street Wonder better than #9 Mythical Power. Joel Rosario, a decent rider, takes over for Corey Nakatani and I think the move will help Wall Street Wonder’s price.

First timers #2 Vanquest and #6 Bridging look promising, but Bridging may be over bet, according to the morning line.

I will wager $400 to win on #4 Wall Street Wonder at 2/1 to 9/1 but  just $100 at 10/1 and up. Also, I want $200 to win on both #2 Vanquest and #6 Bridging at 10/1 to 19/1.

Posted in Uncategorized. 1 Comment »

Saturday, Santa Anita Race 3 — 12:45 p.m. post time

January 24, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden claiming $25,000, 6 furlongs, 4-yo’s and up

Possible overlays                     Morning line

#4 Connie the Queen                    8/1
#6 Holladay Dixie                         5/2
#7 No Guessing                            9/2
#9 SallySays So                           5/1
#11 Stylin Deputy                         7/2
#12 Happyinexcess                      12/1
#14 Classic Demand                     12/1

The median Beyer Speed Figure for this race is 69 and several in here have shown they are capable of that. The Carla Gaines-trained #6 Holladay Dixie ran within three points of the median Beyer in six of her last seven races and is dropping in class today.

However, that resume probably means she’ll be overbet.

Breaking in the next stall, #7 No Guessing ran a 65 while going wide on the turn on Dec. 28, and #11 Stylin Deputy earned a 67 Beyer for his March 2008 effort where he also got a wide trip.

Others coming off recent layoffs who could improve are #9 Sally Says So and #14 Classic Demand. Peter Eurton, Classic Demand’s trainer, has won with six of his last 13 starters at this meet. Finally, #12 Happyinexcess flashed good early speed in his debut.

I plan to watch the tote board for action on the layoff horses. I’ll bet $200 on any of these horses at 2/1 to 7/2: #4 Connie the Queen, #9 Sally Says So, #11 Stylin Deputy and #14 Classic Demand. And at 4/1 to 9/1, I’ll bet $150 on Sally Says So,  #7 No Guessing, and #14 Classic Demand.

Finally, at 8/1 to 19/1, I’ll put $100 on #12 Happyinexcess.

Posted in maiden claiming 3^, 4^, Uncategorized. Tags: . 1 Comment »

Saturday, Santa Anita Race 1 — 11:45 a.m. post time

January 24, 2009 — maidenking
Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden King conquers So. Cal. maiden races

Maiden Special Weight, 6-1/2 furlongs, 4-yo’s and up

Possible overlays                      Morning line

#5 Buck’s Bro                                   3/1
#6 Spirit of Cochise                           4/1
#7 Deep Pockets                               2/1

Of the horse who have run, #7 Deep Pockets is by far the quickest out of the gate. But at 6-1/2 furlongs speed is not as valuable as in shorter sprints.

Jockey Joel Rosario has a shot to run down Deep Pockets with #5 Buck’s Bro, who ran an 86 Beyer Speed Figure in his last while going wide on the turn. This horse has the right running style for this distance.

Finally, #6 Spirit of Cochise had trouble at the break in his Dec. 28 debut, but still finished well. He shows some strong workouts and trainer Eoin Harty switches to jockey Garrett Gomez.

I will bet $300 on #5 Buck’s Bro at 2/1 and up and $100 on #6 Spirit of Cochise at 4/1 or better.

Posted in msw, 3^, 4^. Tags: , . 1 Comment »

Results, Santa Anita Friday Race 8 — lost $550

January 24, 2009 — maidenking
Trainer Robert Hess, Jr. had filly Rev Her Up rarin' to go

Trainer Robert Hess, Jr. had filly Rev Her Up rarin' to go

Garrett Gomez is good, but he’s not that good.

Horseplayers, however, continue to bet Gomez in maiden sprints like they’ve already read tomorrow’s paper. These days, any contender Gomez rides — like Delahoosee on Thursday and #8 Dixie Lucky on Friday — is likely to be pounded to less than 3-ro-2. And these horse don’t look much better than the other nags.

For example on Jan. 2, #9 Sky Marni finished just 1-3/4 lengths behind Dixie Lucky when they competed together — and Sky Marni was steadied two times in the stretch. Yet, Sky Marni went off at 9-to-2 in Friday’s eighth, while Dixie Lucky was bet to 7-to-5.  The payout was almost four times greater for Sky Marni, and did Dixie Lucky have a four times better chance of winning because Gomez was riding?

I think not.

Even #4 Rev Her Up, the horse who won Friday’s race, ran a 66 Beyer Speed Figure in her last. And that compares favorably to the 64 that Dixie Lucky ran in her only start.

Anyway in this race, Dixie Lucky finished a well-beaten fifth and was never anywhere close to the front, while Rev Her Up and Sky Marni finished 1-2.

Iwagered $200 on #1 Count’n Tears a 7-to-1 second timer, $150 on Sky Marni, and $200 on #2 Tripped Fuse, a 19-to-1 shot making her debut.

To watch a replay of this race, go to calracing.com

PGM PP# NAME JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS FN
1 1 Count’n Tears (CA) Talamo J Saavedra A 7.00 10
2 2 Tripped Fuse (FL) Garcia M Glatt M 19.30 4
3 3 Dream Season (KY) Solis A Fanning J 28.30 6
4 4 Rev Her Up (CA) Espinoza V Hess, Jr. R 4.10 1
5 5 Moonshine Molly (KY) Quinonez A Eurton P 38.80 7
6 6 Roll Model (OH) Rios J Dollase C 25.50 3
7 7 Hypnotizing (CA) Valdivia, Jr. J Lewis C 43.30 8
8 8 Dixie Lucky (FL) Gomez G Hollendorfer J 1.20 5
9 9 Sky Marni (KY) Olguin G Gonzalez S 4.60 2
11 10 Warren’s Lisa (CA) Arambula P Gutierrez J 14.60 9
SCR – A Taco Short (KY)     – –
SCR – Tie (IN)     – –
SCR – Susananda (KY)     – –
SCR – Comeandcatchme (KY)     – –
Pgm Win Place Show
4 $10.20 $4.80 $3.80
9 – $5.60 $4.40
6 – – $10.40
 
Exotic Payoffs
$1.00 Exacta paid $24.10 (4-9)
$1.00 Pick 3 paid $134.50 (6-2-4)
$1.00 Pick 4 paid
Posted in maiden claiming 2s & 3s. Tags: , , , , , . Leave a Comment »
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