Maiden claiming $32,000, 5-1/2 furlongs, 3-yo fillies
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Count’n Tears 8/1
#2 Tripped Fuse 10/1
#5 Molly Moonshine 20/1
#7 Hypnotizing 12/1
#8 Dixie Lucky 2/1
#9 Sky Martini 8/1
This looks like a very strong race for the level, as the median Beyer Speed Figure is 66 and many of these horses have run races in the mid-60’s.
However, there are also many first and second-time starters with potential in here and they always seem to pay better than a horse with a high Beyer number.
On the rail, #1 Count’n Tears is running in her second lifetime race and she looks like the quickest horse. That’s important with a short run to the turn. Another second-timer who could run big is #9 Sky Marni, who steadied in the stretch on Jan. 2, yet still ran a 59 Beyer.
Garrett Gomez is certain to depress the price on 2-to-1 morning line favorite #8 Dixie Lucky, but #7 Hypnotizing, who is another second-timer, will probably go off at a decent wagering price.
Peter Eurton, who’s won with six of his last 13, trains #5 Moonshine Molly, but she has all slow workouts showing for her debut. Another running for the first time is #2 Tripped Fuse, who is worth a wager if the price is right.
I will bet $200 to win on #1 Count’n Tears, and $150 on #7 Hypnotizing and #9 Sky Marni — all at 3/1 to 7/1 only, and I will reduce the wagers on all three to $100 at odds of 8/1 or more. Also, I want $200 on #2 Tripped Fuse and #5 Molly Moonshine, but only at 10/1 to 19/1.