Maiden claming $25,000, 6 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up
Possible overlays Morning line
#2 Captain Charisma 12/1
#3 Leavin in a Limo 5/1
#5 I am Madison’s 5/1
#9 Smokin’ Stogies 6/1
#12 Military Power 10/1
#13 Judge Kent 7/2
This 13-horse competitive opener looks like it could be won by any of several runners. So I’ll need decent odds for any and all wagers.
First, #5 I am Madison’s is talented and has good early speed, which is always dangerous. He could win, but many of the others have more seasoning.
Like I am Madison’s, #3 Leavin in a Limo has only had three races, which is a knock in these claiming sprints for older horses. My median Beyer Speed Figure and the DRF’s Beyer par are a matching 74, so Leavin in a Limo fits, as he followed a 76 Beyer in his Dec. 28 debut with a 73 on Feb. 8.
Trained by David Hofmans, #9 Smokin Stogies has been working out well and is dropping from maiden special weight after a 10-month layoff. Also, #12 Military Power, trained by Mike Machowsky, is running his second race after eight months away from the races. Machowsky has an excellent record with recently laid off maidens.
Two others that must be considered at the right price are #2 Captain Charisma and #13 Judge Kent.
I will bet $200 to win on the highest three odds horses that are between 5/1 and 10/1 of #2 Captain Charisma, #3 Leavin in a Limo, #5 I am Madison’s, #9 Smokin’ Stogies, #12 Military Power and #13 Judge Kent.