Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#3 Canonize 8/1
#6 Company Tiger 10/1
#7 Ducane 12/1
#8 Vanquest 3/1
#11 Hidden Blessing 5/1
Of the 11 colts and geldings running in this race, seven of them are making their first lifetime start.
Many of the first timers have been working out well, but the best potential bets are #3 Canonize, #6 Company Tiger and #11 Hidden Blessing. Both Canonize and Company Tiger are owned by connections that have good records with first-out winners. Jockey Garrett Gomez rides Hidden Blessing and he often finds himself on winning debuters at this class level.
Of the experienced runners, #8 Vanquest’s second-place finish in his last race was a few points better than the median winning Beyer Speed Figure for this class. Vanquest ran behind Supreme Summit, who came back to win an allowance race.
Coming off a seven-month layoff, the Todd Pletcher-trained #7 Ducane is showing a couple of good workouts. The 12-to-1 morning line seems very high to me considering Pletcher has a large following.
At the betting window, I will take $250 to win on #3 Canonize at 7/2 to 19/1; $200 on #11 Hidden Blessing at 7/2 or better and $150 on #6 Company Tiger at 7/2 to 19/1.
If either Canonize or Hidden Blessing fall out of the betting zone, then I will substitute for that horse only a $200 wager on #8 Vanquest at 2/1 or more.
April 4, 2009 at 11:57 PM
[…] Saturday, Santa Anita Race 5 — 2:05 pm post time […]