In his debut race on Dec. 14, Jazzin Razz dwelt at the start to spot the field 10 lengths, essentially losing all chance. But on Monday, trainer Richard Rosales equipped #8 Jazzin Razz with blinkers and jockey Clinton Potts encouraged the gelding to run early.
At 15-to-1, Jazzin Razz responded by breaking well and he ran with the leading group on the backstretch. Jazzin Razz took the lead in the stretch then won a tight photo finish over the fast-closing #5 You Wood.
Jazzin Razz’s trainer Rosales won just six of 78 races in 2008 and was 0-for-5 this year. But maiden long shot players know him well. Somebody posting as MagicHorseman on Pace Advantage.com said that Rosales trained two maiden claiming bombs that came in in 2007. The first was a $58.80 winner named Razi’s Star on Feb. 28, 2007, and the second was H.E.’s Girl, which paid $133.60 on Nov. 9, 2007.
I considered betting four horses in this race and ended up with three of them. I bet $200 on #5 You Wood, #9 Zephaniah and #12 Hurley’s Way. You Wood missed by a nose at 5-to-1 and #12 Hurley’s Way was only a head behind You Wood after going very wide on the turn.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com
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It was only his third attempt at maiden claimers, but it took #8 Magna Cum Laude sixteen races to earn his diploma. Trainer Robert Hess got this gelding from Aidan O’Brien who had been running him in sprint races on the Irish courses — Fairyhouse, Dundalk and Naas.
Magna Cum Laude was given lasix, which is illegal in Ireland, but didn’t hit the board in six Southern California tries against maiden special weights — five of which were on the grass.
Hess dropped him to maiden claiming on Oct. 26 and the horse responded with a clear lead for most of the 7-furlong race, as he tried to wire the field but faded to third. On Monday, jockey Chantal Sutherland put Magna Cum Laude back on the lead and he survived a late run by #1 Larrylarrylarry to hit the winner’s circle.
I bet $300 on Larrylarrylarry, who went off at 4-to-1, and he ran well to finish second. I also considered #10 Six Pack Man, but he was bet below my minimum odds of 2-to-1.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com
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Maiden claiming $32,000, 7 furlongs, 3-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#5 You Wood 6/1
#6 Rise Above 3/1
#9 Zephaniah 9/2
#12 Hurley’s Way 7/2
The Ed Moger-trained #9 Zephaniah looks like he could get an easy lead, but will he be able to last?
Bob Baffert has been running #12 Hurley’s Way in maiden special weight routes and now cuts back to maiden claiming 7 furlongs. Hurley’s Way was third best of 41 while working out at 4 furlongs on Jan. 15 and should perform better facing weaker. Second-timer #5 You Wood was bet to 4-to-1 versus nine others in his debut and he looks like a solid gelding for trainer Vladimir Cerin.
And finally, you can’t ignore the 72 Beyer Speed Figure run by #6 Rise Above in a Jan. 4 route race. Trainer Mel Stute hit at only eight percent in 2008, but Stute looks like he’s got this one headed in the right direction.
At 2/1 or more, I’ll bet $300 on #6 Rise Above and $200 on #12 Hurley’s Way.
But if either Rise Above or Hurley’s way are 9/5 or less, then I’ll replace which ever horse has unbettable odds with a $200 wager on #5 You Wood at 2/1 to 10/1 and $200 on Zemphaniah, #9, at 7/2 or more .
Maiden claiming $25,000, 7 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Larrylarrylarry 9/2
#10 Six Pack Man 7/2
Many of these horses ran together in a 6-1/2 furlong race on Dec. 26. Although, #5 Whizer finished better than #10 Six Pack Man, I like the latter horse more because trainer Mike Puype is doing well this meet with horses returning from recent long layoffs.
On the rail, #1 Larrylarrylarry is another who could get the job done at the right price.
I will bet $400 on #10 Six Pack Man at 2/1 to 7/2, but only $200 if he drifts up to 4/1 or higher. Also, I want $300 to win on #1 Larrylarrylarry at 2/1 or above.uy
Jockey Corey Nakatani sprang to the lead with #2 Hudler, who held a clear advantage on the backstretch.
On the turn, Hudler was running easily with Nakatani hardly moving his hands, however behind him Martin Garcia was asking #6 Dona Mary for everything she had. In third place, jockey Alex Solis had the 7-to-5 favorite #5 High Note also under an all-out race ride.
But nobody was catching Hudler, who won without breaking a sweat.
I bet $200 on this first-time starter, as her 7-to-1 odds fell into my range of 5-to-1 and above. I also put $200 on second-timer #6 Dona Mary, and was considering winning trainer Doug O’Neill’s other entry #7 Runway Starlet. But she was 2-to-1, which I thought was too poor of a wagering price.
I also liked first timer #5 High Note, but was interested at 10-to-1 and higher, not her post time odds of 7-to-5.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com
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Maiden special weight, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#2 Hudler 5/1
#5 High Note 2/1
#6 Dona Mary 5/1
#7 Runway Starlet 3/1
Lots of inexperienced runners in this field of eight fillies.
Trainer Doug O’Neill starts both first timer #2 Hudler and #7 Runway Starlet, a filly who has run three credible races.
Hudler’s owner, J. Paul Reddam, likes to use jockey Cory Nakatani and Reddam has had a fair amount of success with debuters.
Another first timer with a strong shot is #5 High Note, trained by Dan Hendricks, but her morning line is a dismal 2-to-1. Finally, #6 Dona Marie fits the profile of a second timer with the potential to improve enough to win this one.
I will bet $200 to win on #2 Hudler at 5/1 and up; $200 on High Note in the unlikely event she’s 10/1 to 19/1: $200 on #6 Dona Mary at 3/1 and higher; and $200 on #7 Runway Starlet at 7/2 or better.
Because of technical difficulties that caused limited access to entries for ShowVivor, the beginning of contest was moved from Saturday to Sunday.
Everyone who entered, whether they selected losing picks or not on Saturday, is still alive.
And registration remains open until 12:15 p.m. Pacific Time on Sunday.
A free $5,000 on line handicapping contest starts today on the Santa Anita website.
ShowVivor contestants select one runner a day to hit the board and if successful they survive until the next day. But if their pick doesn’t finish first, second or third, then the contest is over for them.
The contest ends when only one player is left, or on April 19, which is the last day of the Santa Anita meet. First place is $3,000 plus airfare to Las Vegas with two nights at the Las Vegas Hilton, second place is $1,500 and third prize is $500.
Players must be registered before 12:15 p.m. PST. Go to www.santaanita.com for all of the details.
Santa Anita carded no maiden sprints on the main track today, so I have nothing to shoot at.
The only race less than one mile for non winners is scheduled for 6-1/2 furlongs on the downhill turf course.
But I see that on Sunday the fourth race is a maiden slated for 6 furlongs on the main track, and on Monday I’m looking forward to tackling two 7 furlongs races for maiden claimers.
Too busy counting the money I made yesterday.
No seriously, I’ve got one of those things called a job and sometimes it gets in the way. You probably have one too, so you know what I mean. But as soon as I make my first $10 mill betting horses, I swear, I’m going to quit with that job nonsense.
But I did quickly look through the past performances today and the only horse that I really like is #10 Thunder Babydoll at 7/2 to 19/1 in the eighth.
Coming into the race, jockey Garrett Gomez had won on eight of the last 13 horses he rode for trainer Jeff Mullins.
Now, you can make it nine of 14.
In his debut race on Dec. 28, Mullins’ #6 Hasty Trend lagged toward the rear as rider Pedro Arambula was restraining the animal. Hasty Trend made a nice run that day in the stretch to finish up well.
But on Thursday, Gomez had Hasty Trend in the race from the opening bell. He ran beside speedster #1 Rochelle’s Jimmy before taking over in the stretch.
I planned to bet Hasty Trend at 2-to-1 or better, but horse players love betting Gomez and they hammered him to 6-to-5.
So I switched to plan B, which was to bet #1 Rochelle’s Jimmy who set the pace at 22-t0-1 before finishing fourth; and #4 Coleville, who finished second at 7-to-2.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.
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It seems to me that the stable waited until the last minute to wager on #7 Dish the Dirt. This 4-year-old, who is trained by Peter Eurton and owned by his main man Frank Alesia, opened at just over 10-to-1 and stood at 9-to-1 as the field loaded into the gate. But after Dish the Dirt ran down 4-to-5 shot #9 Lavender Touch in the stretch, she paid a mere $16, or 7-to-1.
I’ll take it though, as I wagered $200 on this filly, who was running in her second race off a long layoff.
Jockey Joel Rosario, broke well with Dish the Dirt, but he grabbed hold of her and she was six lengths behind on the backstretch. She began noticeably accelerating midway on the turn, then unleashed a strong stretch drive in the middle of the track to nail the pace setter for the money.
Jeff Mullins trained #9 Lavender Touch, who sat off the flank of longshot #1 Junior’s Aces before taking the lead at the top of the stretch. She clearly led until a few jumps from the wire, but couldn’t last.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com.
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In a five-horse field populated with horses that hit the board a total of one time, a champion Canadian jockey and trainer teamed up on #4 Forster Hall to go wire-to-wire.
Woodbine-based jockey Patrick Husbands, who was voted Canada’s outstanding jockey in 2008, eased Forster Hall to the lead and was able to set reasonable fractions that left the horse with plenty in the tank at the finish. It was the first Santa Anita win for Husbands, 35, who has won Canada’s Sovereign Award for Outstanding Jockey a total of six times.
Forster Hall’s trainer Mark Casse, also from Woodbine, is no slouch either. He won the 2008 Sovereign Award for Outstanding Trainer, a prize he also took in 2006 and 2007.
I bet $200 to win on this horse and he paid $6.20. I was also monitoring the odds on #2 Izemine for a bet at 5-to-1 or more, but his post time odds were 7-to-2.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com
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Maiden claiming $32,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds
Possible overlays Morning line
#1 Rochelle’s Jimmy 12/1
#2 Belongs to Gotham 6/1
#4 Coleville 7/2
#6 Hasty Trend 5/2
#7 Cole’s Favorite 5/1
Of the 10 horses running, six of them are making their second lifetime start. The most likely winner of the second timers is probably #6 Hasty Trend, who broke slowly in his last then made a nice run. During that race, which was run Dec. 28, jockey Pedro Arambula was sitting back in Hasty Trend’s saddle throughout the whole backstretch. Today, trainer Jeff Mullins is switching to Garrett Gomez, and Gomez won eight of the last 13 times he’s ridden for Mullins.
Jockey Michael Baze had a problem with #9 Cole’s Favorite in the stretch of his debut. Baze was sitting behind the pace setter and as he tried to rally up the rail another horse shot into the gap, forcing Baze to steady. Cole’s Favorite then lost his momentum. Today, trainer Rafael Becerra adds blinkers.
Also, if trainer Herbert Bacorn can teach #1 Rochelle’s Jimmy to ration his speed he can wire a field like this.
At odds of 2/1 or more, I will bet $200 on #6 Hasty Trend and I want $100 on #1 Rochelle’s Jimmy at 10/1 or more.
Also, if Hasty Trend goes off at 9/5 or less, then instead of him I want $150 to win at 3/1 to 8/1 on #2 Belongs to Gotham, #4 Coleville and #9 Cole’s Favorite.
Maiden special weight, 6 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up, f & m
Possible overlays Morning line
#2 Sweetpea 5/1
#7 Dish the Dirt 6/1
#9 Lavender Touch 5/2
Racing for the second time off a long layoff, #7 Dish the Dirt ran well enough to win at this level when she finished second in her debut. In that race, which was in December 2007, Dish the Dirt ran an 85 Beyer Speed Figure, which exceeds the median of 80 that usually wins at this class level.
On Dec. 5, #9 Lavender Touch broke about five lengths behind the field, but jockey Michael Baze had a handful of horse all the way up the backstretch. Baze finally let Lavender Touch run in the stretch of this turf sprint and she finished well to be third, running a 74 Beyer.
The Jay Robbins-trained #2 Sweet Pea was also making her debut in that same race. But it didn’t look like jockey David Flores was asking for much of an effort as she seemed to be breezing most of the way. Today, Garrett Gomez rides.
I will bet $200 on both #7 Dish the Dirt at 7/2 or more and #9 Lavender Touch at 2/1 or better.
If Lavender Touch dips to 9/5 or below, then I will bet $100 on #2 Sweetpea at 3/1 to 6/1 only.
Maiden claiming $50,000, 6-1/2 furlongs, 4 yo’s and up
Possible overlays Morning line
#2 Izemine 6/1
#4 Forster Hall 3/1
Trainer Peter Eurton, who sends out #2 Izemine, has won a couple of similar races to this with first-time starters. Therefore, I will give him a shot in here, although I won’t bet too much.
Of the horses who have run, none has approached the middle 80’s median Beyer Speed Figure that typically wins these races. Although he hasn’t been out since March, #4 Forster Hall might be ready to unleash a winning performance and I will watch the tote board for clues.
Mike Machowsky, the trainer of #3 Wizard Man, has a good record with debut horses, but most of them were 2-year-olds. Wizard Man has some decent workouts and the jockey is all right.
I will bet $200 on #4 Forster Hall at 2/1 to 7/2 only and $100 on #2 Izemine at 5/1 or more.
Trainer Rafael Becerra continued his success with recently laid off horses by getting #3 Raise Again to the winner’s circle at 4-to-1.
Over the last two years, Becerra has won with this same move at least six times, paying anywhere from $10 to $23.
No doubt, in this race, Raise Again got a perfect trip. Jockey Martin Garcia laid five lengths off dueling long shots #7 Black Point and #9 Makor’s Girl, who blazed through fractions of 21.88 seconds for the quarter mile and 44.62 seconds for the half.
That is really motoring for a 6-1/2 furlong race for $25,000 maiden claimers and both of them staggered home in the stretch. Raise Again came on the outside and “powered away” by 3-1/2 official lengths, according to the equibase chart caller.
In the wagering, I planned to bet $300 on Raise Again at 2-to-1 to 7-to-2, but reduce my outlay to $200 at 4-to-1 or higher. I was a bit unfortunate as the odds on Raise Again sat below 4-to-1 until the final minute when he blinked up to his final price of 4.2-to-1. So, I ended up betting $200 on him instead of $300.
To watch a replay of this race, go to www.calracing.com
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He failed as the favorite at this class level three straight times, but on Wednesday jockey Garrett Gomez got #4 Uncle Jeep to finally break his maiden.
Trained by Mike Mitchell, this horse was no secret, as he closed at 4-to-5 to pay just $3.80.
The race began with #1 Eddie the Hat zooming to a clear lead down the backstretch with Uncle Jeep stalking him just a length or two behind. At the top of the stretch Uncle Jeep challenged the leader who tried to go with him. But Eddie the Hat couldn’t match strides and weakened.
It was Gomez’ first chance riding Uncle Jeep and his win continues the great recent success he and Mitchell have had together, winning 13 out of 36 races before this.
I was watching the tote board on a couple of second timers and ended up betting $200 on #6 Hammurabi at 9-to-2. Also, I put $150 on 18-to-1 shot #2 Cracked Code, who was making his debut.
To watch a replay of this race go to www.calracing.com
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